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Sun Bowl: Duke vs. Arizona State - 12/27/14 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Duke Blue Devils (9-3) at Arizona State Sun Devils (9-3)

College Football: Saturday, December 27, 2014 at 2:00 pm (Sun Bowl)

The Line: Arizona State Sun Devils -7.5 -- Over/Under: 66 See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS

The Duke Blue Devils and the Arizona State Sun Devils face off on Saturday in El Paso in the Sun Bowl.

The Duke Blue Devils have gone from doormats to bowl regulars and while they haven’t reached the top level, this is a program that has come a long way. The Duke offense averaged 32.5 points and 398.2 yards per game and they are led by QB Anthony Boone who has completed 56.9 percent of his passes with 17 touchdowns and seven interceptions and e has rushed for 346 yards and five touchdowns. Shaun Wilson leads the Blue Devils ground attack with 590 yards and five touchdowns and Shaquille Powell gained 501 yards and Jamison Crowder was the top receiver with 78 receptions and six touchdowns. The Duke defense allowed 20.6 points and 400.3 yards per game with 21 takeaways and 27 sacks. David Helton had 125 tackles, DeVon Edwards had 119 tackles, and Jeremy Cash had 103 tackles and 5.5 sacks. Duke had a chance at the ACC title game but lost two of their last three games.

Sun Bowl: Duke vs. Arizona State - 12/27/14 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Arizona State Sun Devils finished the season 9-3 but it was a season ending loss to Arizona that kept them out of the Pac-12 title game. ASU averaged 37 points and 446.5 yards per game led by QB Taylor Kelly who completed 57.8 percent of his passes with 20 touchdowns and five interceptions and he rushed for 232 yards and three touchdowns. D.J. Foster is the Sun Devils top rusher with 1,002 yards and nine touchdowns and Jaelen Strong had 75 receptions and 10 touchdowns. The Arizona State defense allowed 27.7 points and 418.5 yards per game with 25 takeaways and 39 sacks. Damarious Randall had 101 tackles, Jordan Simone had 90 tackles, and Marcus Hardison had 10 sacks. Arizona State had their chances against Arizona in the season finale but didn’t get it done.

Duke is 4-1-1 against the spread in their last six non-conference games, 12-4 against the spread following a win, and 18-7-1 against the spread in their last 26 games. Arizona State is 5-1 against the spread following a loss, 1-5 against the spread in their last six bowl games, and 4-1 against the spread following a game that they didn’t cover the spread.

The total here simply looks way too low and I see the over as a strong play in this one. 

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Over 66

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