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Michigan State vs. Baylor Cotton Bowl - 1/1/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Michigan State Spartans (10-2) at Baylor Bears (11-1)

College Football: Thursday, January 1, 2015 at 12:30 pm (AT&T Stadium)

The Line: Baylor Bears -2.5 -- Over/Under: 70 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Baylor Bears and Michigan State Spartans meet in the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic on New Year's Day.


The Michigan State Spartans had dreams of winning the Big Ten Title but a lone November loss to Ohio State denied them. The Spartans finished 10-2 with the only other loss coming at Oregon in game number two. MSU had some very impressive numbers defensively with a mere 294 yards and 20 points allowed with less then 98 yards coming on the ground. The offense put up some outstanding numbers as well with with 497 yards and 43 points split almost down the middle between the run and pass. QB Connor Cook was a 58% passer who threw for 2,900 yards with 22 TD's and six INT's. Tony Lippett was far and away the top receiver with 1,124 yards and eleven scores and nearly a 19 yard average. The ground game was Jeremy Langford with 1,360 yards while Nick Hill added nearly 600 yards.

Michigan State vs. Baylor Cotton Bowl - 1/1/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports


The 11-1 Baylor Bears were left out in the cold when the NCAA playoff positions were decided with their lone loss to West Virginia being too much to overlook apparently. The Bears were an unmovable force offensively with the best unit in the land that produced 581 yards and 49 points with the #5 air game producing 346 yards. Bryce Petty led the potent air assault with 3,305 yards with 26 touchdowns and six picks with the trio of Corey Coleman, KD Cannon and Antwan Goodley combing for over 2,400 receiving yards. Shock Linwood did most of the heavy lifting on the ground with 1,226 yards with Johnny Jefferson totaling another 526 yards. The offense had weapons galore but the defense did their share with 368 yards and 24 points given up behind a top ten run D that allowed less then 108 yards.


The Spartans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games while the over is 5-0 in Spartans last 5 non-conference games and 4-0 in Spartans last 4 games in January. For Baylor the Bears are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game while the over is 6-1-1 in Bears last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. I can see either team winning here but for me this is a game I'd rather watch then bet...

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Baylor Bears -2.5

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