Florida vs. New Mexico State - 9/5/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
New Mexico State Aggies (0-0) at Florida Gators (0-0)
College Football: Saturday, September 5, 2015 at 7:30 pm (Ben Hill Griffith Stadium)
The Line: Florida Gators -37 Over/Under 57.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: SEC Network
The Florida Gators and the New Mexico State Aggies face off on Saturday in the Swamp in their 2015 college football season openers.
The Jim McElwain era begins in Gainesville as the Florida Gators look to restore their program that has struggled in recent years. At QB Florida is leaning toward starting Will Grier who is more of a pocket passer but Treon Harris is a much more mobile option and he looked good last season. McElwain will try and establish a power running game at UF and Kelvin Taylor will be the go to back. Florida has been disappointing in the receiving department in recent years and Demarcus Robinson will try to live up to his recruiting hype and tight end Jake McGee should be a reliable target. The Florida defense has played well but they have been hung out to dry by the ineffective offense but CB Vernon Hargreaves III is one of the top defenders in the nation at any position, Jon Bullard leads the DL, and Antonio Morrison is the best tackler at LB. Talent has never been an issue for the Gators but putting it all together has been.
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The New Mexico State Aggies have been one of the worst teams in college football but this year they could be improved over what we are used to seeing. Tyler Rogers should be the starting QB for NMSU but he was a turnover machine last season with 23 interceptions. Larry Rose III leads the New Mexico State rushing attack averaging 5.9 yards per carry and Andrew Allen is capable as well while Teldrick Morgan is the Aggies top receiving option. NMSU’s offensive line has decent numbers but a lot of that could be attributed to the quick passing game. The New Mexico State defense was just lousy against the run allowing over 300 yards per game ranking worst in the nation. The best of the bunch for the Aggies defense is Kawe Johnson at FS and linebacker Rodney Butler but this unit can’t do much other than improve.
Florida is 4-0 against the spread in their last four non-SEC games, 5-1 against the spread in their last six games, and 5-13 against the spread in their last 18 home games. New Mexico State is 5-13 against the spread in their last 18 non-conference games, 5-16 against the spread in their last 21 road games, and 0-5 against the spread against the SEC.
This is a really big number but with the worst run defense against a coach who loves to run the football this looks like the perfect opponent for the Gators who may make up for a lack of scoring in recent years.