Alabama vs. Middle Tennessee State - 9/12/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders (1-0) at Alabama Crimson Tide (1-0)
College Football: Saturday, September 12, 2015 at 4:00 pm (Bryant-Denny Stadium)
The Line: Alabama Crimson Tide -34.5 -- Over/Under: 54 See the Latest Odds
TV: SEC Network
The Alabama Crimson Tide and the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders face off on Saturday in Tuscaloosa in college football action.
The Alabama Crimson Tide opened their season with a win over Wisconsin in Arlington. The Alabama offense made big plays out of broken tackles and that was the real difference maker for the Tide. Bama QB Jake Coker completed over 71 percent of his passes for 213 yards and a touchdown and Cooper Bateman was effective in relief completing seven of his eight attempts. Alabama’s running attack was impressive with Derrick Henry rushing for 147 yards and three touchdowns and Kenyan Drake ran for 77 yards and a score while Robert Foster led in reception with four and O.J. Howard had three. The Crimson Tide defense allowed just 40 rushing yards and 268 yards total in an impressive performance. Reggie Ragland led Alabama defenders with seven tackles, Eddie Jackson had six tackles, and Shaun Dion Hamilton had fiver tackles. Alabama looked impressive in week one as they keyed on the defense and the running game.
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Middle Tennessee State played FCS Jackson State in week one and they blew them out of the building. MTSU red shirt freshman QB Brent Stockstill had a monster first game completing 80.6 percent of his passes for 364 yards and four touchdowns. The Blue Raiders rushing attack was led by Shane Tucker who ran for 64 yards and three touchdowns and Jordan Parker who rushed for 68 yards while Ed Batties led Middle Tennessee State in receptions with eight and Richie James had seven. The MTSU defense allowed just five rushing yards but of course that will be tested this week. Cavellis Luckett had six tackles to lead MTSU and Darius Harris and Quay Wayy had four tackles each. While the MTSU defense didn’t get much quality work, the offense looked in sync and while playing FCS teams usually isn’t helpful, it couldn’t have hurt Middle Tennessee State.
Alabama is 1-5 against the spread following a game that they covered the spread, 1-8-1 against the spread in their last nine non-conference games, and 1-3-1 against the spread against a team with a winning road record. Middle Tennessee State is 2-5 against the spread against the SEC, 2-6 against the spread in their last eight road games against a team with a winning home record, and 2-9 against the spread in their last 11 road games.
I can see MTSU struggling with Alabama’s size but this is a monster spread and Saban isn’t a run up the score coach so I will take MTSU and the points in what is a lean at best.