LSU at Mississippi State - 9/12/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
LSU Tigers (0-0) at Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-0)
College Football: Saturday, September 12, 2015 at 9:15 pm (Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field)
The Line: Mississippi State Bulldogs +4.5 -- Over/Under: 50 See the Latest Odds
The LSU Tigers and Mississippi State Bulldogs meet Saturday night at Davis Wade Stadium.
The LSU Tigers make their season debut with this game after after contest against McNeese State was cancelled. Brandon Harris returns at quarterback after completing 55.6 percent of his passes for 452 yards, six touchdowns and two interceptions. Harris and Anthony Jennings combined for 17 touchdowns last season for LSU. Travin Dural and Malachi Dupre combined for more than 1,000 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns while John Diarse had three touchdowns on 15 receptions. Leonard Fournette leads the Tigers ground game after topping 1,000 yards and 10 touchdowns as a freshman. Defensively, Kendell Beckwith returns at linebacker after picking up 77 tackles, Christian LaCouture had 2.5 sacks and Rickey Jefferson had two interceptions.
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The Mississippi State Bulldogs are coming off a 34-16 victory over Southern Miss. Dak Prescott is completing 57.9 percent of his passes for 237 yards, two touchdowns and zero interceptions. Prescott has nine passing touchdowns in his last four games. Fred Ross and De'Runnya Wilson have combined for more than 110 receiving yards while Gus Walley has a touchdown on three receptions. The Mississippi State Bulldogs ground game is averaging 205 yards per contest, and Prescott leads the way with 72 yards and a touchdown. Defensively, Mississippi State is allowing 16 points and 413 yards per game. Richie Brown leads the Bulldogs with 11 tackles, A.J. Jefferson has two sacks and Will Redmond has an interception. Defensive back Taveze Calhoun will likely make his season debut here.
The Tigers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September. The Bulldogs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 conference games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Tigers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Mississippi State and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings overall.
This line is a little off, no? The Bulldogs at home, with a Heisman candidate QB and they're getting the points? Look, I know LSU has a ton of talent and one of the top running backs in the land. However, LSU has yet to play this season and still has questions at quarterback and what not. Miss State is no slouch and actually beat the Tigers on the road last season.
This game could go either way, but I see a ton of value with the Bulldogs here. This line is crazy to me.