Michigan State vs. Air Force - 9/19/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Air Force Falcons (2-0) at Michigan State Spartans (2-0)
College Football: Saturday, September 19, 2015 at 12:00 pm (Spartan Stadium)
The Line: Michigan State Spartans -26.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Air Force Falcons and Michigan State Spartans meet Saturday afternoon at Spartan Stadium.
The Air Force Falcons look for a monster upset after a solid 2-0 start to the season. Nate Romine is completing 38.9 percent of his passes for 143 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Romine has just 48 pass attempts the last two seasons. Garrett Brown and Jalen Robinette have combined for 99 receiving yards and one touchdown while Alex Ludowig has a touchdown on one reception. The Air Force Falcons ground game is averaging 411 yards per contest, and D.J. Johnson leads the way with 185 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Air Force is allowing 11.5 points and 242.5 yards per game. Roland Ladipo leads the Falcons with 10 tackles, Alex Hansen has two sacks and Roland Ladipo has an interception. Garrett Griffin and Matt Galland are questionable for this game.
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The Michigan State Spartans hope to avoid a letdown after beating the Oregon Ducks last week. Connor Cook is completing 55.6 percent of his passes for 448 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Cook has a touchdown pass in five straight games. Aaron Burbridge and Macgarrett Kings Jr. have combined for more than 290 receiving yards and one touchdown while Josiah Price has two touchdown receptions. The Michigan State Spartans ground game is averaging 196.5 yards per contest, and Madre London leads the way with 162 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, MSU is allowing 26 points and 407.5 yards per game. Riley Bullough leads the Spartans with 23 tackles, Shilique Calhoun has two sacks and Montae Nicholson has two interceptions. Drake Martinez is questionable for this game.
The Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games. The Spartans are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 18-8-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
Even though the Spartans are coming off a big win over Oregon, it’s not like Michigan State has looked flat out unbeatable. MSU hasn’t been clicking offensively consistently and the defense isn’t that scary just yet.
I’m worried about MSU letting off the gas just a little off a big win. Also, preparing for Air Force’s offense in just one week is tough. The Falcons option offense always gives teams trouble and bleeds the clock. I’ll take the points here.