Mississippi State at Auburn - 9/26/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-1) at Auburn Tigers (2-1)
College Football: Saturday, September 26, 2015 at 7:30 pm (Jordan-Hare Stadium)
The Line: Auburn Tigers -3 -- Over/Under: 58.5 See the Latest Odds
The Mississippi State Bulldogs and Auburn Tigers meet Saturday night at Jordan-Hare Stadium.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs look for a big road win to improve to 3-1 on the year. Dak Prescott is completing 65.3 percent of his passes for 799 receiving yards, five touchdowns and zero interceptions. Prescott has thrown a touchdown pass in 17 straight games. De'Runnya Wilson and Fred Ross have combined for 311 receiving yards and one touchdown while Donald Gray has four receptions. The Mississippi State Bulldogs ground game is averaging 174.3 yards per contest, and Ashton Shumpert leads the way with 123 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Miss State is allowing 16.7 points and 335.7 yards per game. Richie Brown leads the Bulldogs with 26 tackles, A.J. Jefferson has 2.5 sacks and Cedric Jiles has two pass deflections. Kelan Chairs is questionable.
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The Auburn Tigers look to get off to a 3-1 start with their first SEC victory. Redshirt freshman Sean White will get the start at quarterback over Jeremy Johnson. Auburn is 113th in the country in passing offense. Ricardo Louis and Roc Thomas have combined for 241 receiving yards and two touchdowns while D'haquille Williams has seven receptions. The Auburn Tigers ground game is averaging 171.6 yards per contest, and Peyton Barber leads the way with 274 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Auburn is allowing 29.7 points and 442.7 yards per game. Johnathan Ford leads the Tigers with 34 tackles, Cassanova McKinzy has two sacks and Tim Irvin has two pass deflections. Jaunta'vius Johnson, Prince Tega Wanogho and T.J. Davis are questionable.
The Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in September and 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Auburn has covered just once in its last 11 games, and that's with a starting quarterback the Tigers were comfortable with. Now, Auburn is throwing a new quarterback into the fire. How Auburn is the favorite here is beyond me. Home field or not, Mississippi State played LSU far better than Auburn did, AND the Bulldogs have a quarterback who was once on Heisman ballots.
I'll gladly take Miss State and the free field goal.