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Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Vanderbilt Commodores - 10/3/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Vanderbilt Commodores (1-3) at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (2-2)

College Football: Saturday, October 3, 2015 at 7:00 pm (Floyd Stadium)

The Line: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -4 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: CBSC

The Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders welcome the Vanderbilt Commodores to town in week five.

The Vanderbilt Commodores are not supposed to be a factor in the always tough SEC but they gave Mississippi a strong effort before falling 27-16. The Commodores trailed just 20-16 in the 4th as 27 point underdogs despite getting outgained 472-322 with a 2-0 edge in turnovers helping their cause. Vandy had most of their success through the air with quarterback Johnny McCrary hitting 23-42 for 194 yards and a touchdown with Steven Scheu, Trent Sherfield and Caleb Scott accounting for 17 receptions and 154 yards in a short passing attack. The Commodores had little luck on the ground with a 25 carry, 90 yard performance from Ralph Webb being the rushing attack.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Vanderbilt Commodores - 10/3/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders were given a decent chancer of taking down Illinois but couldn’t hold on to a 4th quarter lead in a 27-25 defeat that saw the Illini nail a 51 yard field goal with just over two minute remaining. The Illini also recovered a blocked punt for a touchdown so things went their way. The boxscore was even with both teams totaling around 370 yards with the Blue Raiders enjoying success in the air but not on the ground. Quarterback Brent Stockstill gave MTSU a fighting chance with 330 yards and three touchdowns on 29-42 with Ed’Marques Batties and Rick James catching 25 balls for 316 yards and three scores. Jordan Parker led the Blue Raiders on the ground with 70 yards on 23 carries but that wasn’t moving the chains. 

The under is 4-0-1 in Commodores last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game and the  Commodores are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. CUSA while the under is 4-0-1 in Commodores last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. The over is 4-0 in Blue Raiders last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and the under is 4-0 in Blue Raiders last 4 vs. SEC while the  over is 5-0 in Blue Raiders last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.  If Vanderbilt can ugly this game up I think they have a shot here but  Stockstill has to be contained…

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Vanderbilt +4

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