Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State - 10/3/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-1) at Texas A&M Aggies (4-0)
College Football: Saturday, October 3, 2015 at 3:33 pm (Kyle Field)
The Line: Texas A&M Aggies -6 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: SEC Network
The Texas A&M Aggies and the Mississippi State Bulldogs face off on Saturday in College Station in a SEC college football battle.
The Texas A&M Aggies are off to a 4-0 start and are coming off of a thrilling overtime win over Arkansas. The Texas A&M offense is averaging 41.5 points and 471.5 yards per game and they have turned the ball over six times. Aggies QB Kyle Allen has completed 65.3 percent of his passes for 11 touchdowns and two interceptions and he has rushed for two touchdowns and Kyler Murray is seeing plenty of action as a change of pace mobile option. Tra Carson leads Texas A&M in rushing with 320 yards and three touchdowns and Christian Kirk as 24 receptions with four touchdowns to lead in receiving. The Texas A&M defense is allowing 22 points and 367 yards with three interceptions, three fumble recoveries, and 17 sacks. Armani Watts leads the Aggies with 32 tackles, Shaan Washington has 24 tackles, and Myles Garrett has 6.5 sacks. Texas A&M appears to be improved on defense over last year but we still don’t know exactly how good they are.
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The Mississippi State Bulldogs are off to a 3-1 start to the season and after losing their first SEC game of the year to LSU they bounced back last week for their first conference win beating Auburn on Saturday. The Mississippi State offense is averaging 33 points and 448.2 yards per game and they have turned the ball over five times, all of them being fumbles. MSU QB Dak Prescott has completed 66.9 percent of his passes with seven touchdowns and no interceptions and he has rushed for 121 yards and two scores. Brandon Holloway is Mississippi State’s leading rusher with 134 yards and Ashton Shumpert is averaging 4.0 yards per carry while Fred Ross is the leading receiver with 22 catches. The Mississippi State defense is allowing 14.8 points and 349 yards per game with three interceptions and 12 sacks. Richie Brown leads the Bulldogs defense with 39 tackles, three sacks, and an interception, A.J. Jefferson has 23 tackles and 3.5 sacks, and Kivon Coman and Kendrick Market each have 22 tackles. Mississippi State doesn’t make a ton of mistakes but they don’t have a lot of explosive plays.
Texas A&M is 4-1 against the spread in their last five games, 4-12 against the spread in their last 16 SEC games, and 1-6 against the spread against a team with a winning road record. Mississippi State is 4-1 against the spread in their last five SEC games, 15-7 against the spread in their last 22 games, and 10-4 against the spread against a team with a winning record.
Mississippi State is one of those teams that finds a way to make it close in the end and while I don’t see them getting close enough to win, they should cover here.