Mississippi State vs. Troy - 10/10/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Troy Trojans (1-3) at Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-2)
College Football: Saturday, October 10, 2015 at 4:00 pm (Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field)
The Line: Mississippi State Bulldogs -31.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: SEC Network
The Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Troy Trojans face off on Saturday in college football action.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 3-2 this season and are coming off of a loss at Texas A&M. The Mississippi State offense is averaging 29.8 points and 439.8 yards per game and they have turned the ball over seven times. MSU QB Dak Prescott has completed 65.3 percent of his passes with seven touchdowns without an interception and he has rushed for 217 yards and three touchdowns. Ashton Shumpert is Mississippi State’s leading running back gaining 145 yards with a touchdown and Fred Ross is the leading receiver with 33 catches. The Mississippi State defense is allowing 17.8 points and 382.4 yards with three interceptions, and 13 sacks. Richie Brown is the Bulldogs leading tackler with 50 tackles, Beniquez Brown has 32 tackles, and Kivon Coman has 27 tackles. Mississippi State has yet to get it done against a top quality opponent.
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The Troy Trojans are 1-3 this season with their only win coming against a FCS opponent. The Troy offense is averaging 21.5 points and 299.8 yards per game and they have turned the ball over six times. Troy QB Brandon Silvers is completing 62.3 percent of his passes with four touchdowns and three interceptions. Brandon Burks is the Trojans leading ball carrier with 319 yards and three touchdowns and Teddy Ruben is the leading receiver with 17 catches and two touchdowns. The Troy defense is allowing 29.2 points and 397.5 yards per game with one interception, two fumble recoveries, and 11 sacks. William Lloyd is Troy’s leading tackler with 32 tackles, Montres Kitchens has 28 tackles, and Tyler Roberts has 21 tackles. Troy lost their Sun Belt Conference opener to South Alabama last week.
Mississippi State is 9-3 against the spread in their last 12 home games, 8-3 against the spread against a team with a losing record, and 5-1 against the spread following a loss. Troy is 5-2 against the spread following a loss, 5-2 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 4-0 against the spread following a game that they didn’t cover the spread.
This is just a lot of points and while Mississippi State has made a living off of beating up on weaker teams I see Troy covering the spread.