Toledo vs. Kent State - 10/10/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Kent State Golden Flashes (2-3) at Toledo Rockets (4-0)
College Football: Saturday, October 10, 2015 at 3:00 pm (Glass Bowl)
The Line: Toledo Rockets -15.5 -- Over/Under: 45.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 3
The Kent State Golden Flashes will travel to the Glass Bowl to take on the 24th ranked Toledo Rockets this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The Kent State Golden Flashes were able to hang on for a 20-14 victory against the Miami (OH) Redhawks and improved to 2-3 (1-0 MAC East) on the season. Kent State gave up two late TD’s to make this one a game and although they were outgained by the Redhawks, they did force the Redhawks to commit 4 turnovers in the victory. Leading the way for the Golden Flashes was WR Antwan Dixon who 63 yards for 6 receptions and also had 72 yards and a TD on 3 carries. On the season, Kent State is averaging just 20.8 ppg on 327 yards per game. Leading the way for the Golden Flashes offense is WR Ernest Calhoun who had 10 receptions for 123 yards and 2 TD on the season. QB Colin Reardon has struggled on the season as he has completed just 45.9% of his passes for 686 yards, 6 TD and 3 Int. The rushing attack has been led by Trayion Durham who had 254 yards and 2 TD’s on 70 carries. WR Antwan Dixon should start seeing some more carries as in his 5 carries this season he has 119 yards and 2 TD. Defensively, the Golden Flashes are holding their opponents to 25.0 ppg on just 252 yards per game. Kent State’s defense has forced opponents into committing 14 turnovers this season and has a turnover margin of plus 5. Leading the way for the defense has been DB Nate Holley (41 tackles, 1.5 sacks, 1 Int) and DB Demetrius Monday who had 5 Int this season.
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The 24th ranked Toledo Rockets remained perfect on the season, improving to 4-0 (1-0 MAC West) after defeating the Ball State Cardinals 24-10 this past Saturday. The Rockets used a 21 point second quarter to take control of the game and outgained Ball State by a 444-262 margin. Terry Swanson and Damion Jones-Moore combined for 224 yards and TD on 41 carries filling in for the injured Kareem Hunt. On the season, Toledo is averaging 26.8 ppg on 387 yards per game. RB Kareem Hunt is the offensive leader for the Rockets but has only played in one game this season (24 carries, 129 yards) as he was suspended for the first two contests and has been battling a hamstring injury as of late. QB Phillip Ely has been average for Toledo as the senior quarterback has completed 52.1% of his passes for 847 yards, 4 TD, and 4 Int. Leading the Rockers at the WR position has been Cody Thompson (10 receptions, 199 yards), Corey Jones (21 receptions, 182 yards, TD) and Alonzo Russell (10 receptions, 169 yards, 2 TD). Defensively, Toledo has been outstanding this season as they are holding their opponents to just 13.0 ppg. The Rockets are only allowing 2.40 rushing yards/attempt and 80.5 rushing yards/game. Toledo has a plus 4 turnover margin on the season. Leading the way for the defense has been LB Jaylen Coleman (44 tackles) and DL Orion Jones (19 tackles, 4.5 sacks).
The Golden Flashes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss and 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a S.U. win. The Rockets are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 conference games and 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Kent State has a punishing defense but Toledo’s defense has also come to play this season and points might be hard to come by in this one. Kent State seems to have found a great weapon in Antwan Dixon and if their defense can continue to cause turnovers I think they’ll be able to stay within this large number. I think Toledo will come out fast in front of their home crowd as they are ranked, but the Kent State keeps this one close and within the number. Take Kent State and the points.