Connecticut vs. South Florida - 10/17/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
South Florida Bulls (2-3) at Connecticut Huskies (3-3)
College Football: Saturday, October 17, 2015 at 12:00 pm (Rentschler Field)
The Line: Connecticut Huskies -1.5 -- Over/Under: 47.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN U
Southern Florida will travel to Rentschler Field to take on the Connecticut Huskies this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The South Florida Bulls snapped a three game losing streak and improved to 2-3 (0-1 AAC-East) on the season after using a big 2nd half to defeat the Syracuse Orange 45-24 this past Saturday. South Florida outgained the Orange by a 541-305 margin and forced Syracuse to commit 3 turnovers in the victory. RB Marlon Mack has a big game for the Bulls as he rushed for 184 yards and 2 TD on 20 carries in the win. Offensively, South Florida is currently averaging 28.8 ppg on 409.6 yards per game (184.8 passing, 224.8 rushing). South Florida has a solid rushing attack led by Marlon Mack (93 carries, 576 yards, 3 TD) and Darius Rice (33 carries, 199 yards, 3 TD). QB Quinton Flowers has completed 61.7% of his passes for 784 yards, 8 TD, and 4 Int. Leading the way for the Bulls WR have been D’Ernest Johnson (13 rec, 213 yards, 4 TD) and Elkanah Dillon (6 rec, 156 yards, 2 TD). Defensively, South Florida is holding their opponents to 24.0 ppg on 352.8 yards per game (233.4 passing, 119.4). The Bulls have only forced opponents into committing 8 turnovers on the season but as a team still has a plus-2 turnover margin. Leading the way for the defense has been Jamie Byrd who has recorded 31 tackles with 3 interceptions.
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The Connecticut Huskies snapped their three game losing streak and improved to 3-3 (1-1 AAC-East) on the season after defeating UCF Knights 40-13 this past Saturday. The 40 points scored was more than double their offensive output from any other game this season for the Huskies. UConn outgained the Knights by a 433-315 margin and forced the Knights into committing 4 turnovers. Leading the way for the Huskies in the victory was RB Arkeel Newsome who had 84 yards and two TD’s on 13 carries. On the season, UConn has struggled to put up points on the board as they are averaging just 19.8 ppg on 323.8 yards per game (213.0 passing, 110.8 rushing). QB Bryant Shierreffs leads the way the UConn offense as on the season Shierreffs has completed 63.4% of his passes for 1271 yards, 6 TD’s, 3 Int. Noel Thomas has been the favorite target at WR for Shierreffs this season as Thomas currently has 361 yards and a TD on 26 receptions. The rushing attack has been led by Arkeel Newsome who had 3 TD’s on 305 yards on 58 carries to go along with 234 receiving yards and 2 TD on 17 receptions. UConn has been outstanding on the defensive end as they are holding their opponents to just 18.7 ppg on 339.2 yards per game (186.5 passing, 152.7 rushing). The Huskies have been good creating turnovers and have a turnover margin of plus-5. Leading the way for the UConn defense has been DL Folorunso Fatukasi (20 tackles, 3.5 sacks) and DB Jhavon Williams (22 tackles, 3 Int).
The Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Huskies are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games overall and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Both of these teams are defensive minded teams that will run the ball and eat up clock. Generally, in these types of games I like taking the points but I think this is going to be a low-scoring slugfest and although the total is quite low, I think this number is going to go down as the week goes and I like the Under currently at 47.5. Take the under.