Western Michigan vs. Miami (Ohio) - 10/24/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Miami (Ohio) RedHawks (1-6) at Western Michigan Broncos (3-3)
College Football: Saturday, October 24, 2015 at 2:00 pm (Waldo Stadium)
The Line: Western Michigan Broncos -20 -- Over/Under: 58 See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 3
The Miami (OH) Redhawks will travel to Waldo Stadium to take on the Western Michigan Broncos this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The Miami (OH) Redhawks continued to have trouble finding ways to put points on the board and fell to 1-6 (0-3 MAC East) on the season after being defeated by the Northern Illinois Huskies 45-12 this past Saturday. The Redhawks had trouble stopping the run as they allowed the Huskies to average 8.4 yards per rush and were outgained by Northern Illinois by a 514-309 margin. Leading the way for the Redhawks was Alonzo Smith who had 57 yards on 11 carries. Offensively, Miami (OH) is averaging just 14.6 ppg on 330.0 yards per game. Miami (OH) hasn’t had any answers at the QB position as both Drew Kummer (48.3 comp %, 856 yards, 7 TD, 6 INT) and Billy Bahl (40.6 comp %, 500 yards, 2 TD, 10 INT) have struggled. Leading the rushing attack for the Redhawks has been Alonzo Smith (61 carries, 242 yards, 3 TD) and Kenny Young (34 carries, 169 yards). Miami (OH) spreads the ball around to their receivers as they currently have five receivers who have between 11 and 17 receptions this season and are led by Sam Martin (16 receptions, 279 yards, 1 TD). Defensively, Miami (OH) has also had its difficulties as they are allowing their opponents to average 36.7 ppg on 449.3 yards (252.9 passing, 196.1 rushing). The Redhawks have a minus 10 turnover margin and are led on the defensive side by LB Paul Moses (42 tackles, 3 sacks) and LB Kent Kern (59 tackles, 2 sacks).
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The Western Michigan Broncos used a 21-point third quarter to help pull away and defeat the Ohio Bobcats 49-14 this past Saturday and improved to 3-3 (2-0 MAC West) this season. The Broncos were able to outgain the Bobcats by a 567-354 margin and had an incredible 430 yards rushing in the victory. Leading the way for Western Michigan was running backs Levante Bellamy (9 carries, 149 yards, 1 TD), Jamauri Bogan (9 carries, 135 yards, 1 TD) and Jarvion Franklin (13 carries, 95 Yards, 1 TD). On the season, Western Michigan is averaging 32.5 ppg on 440.8 yards per game. Western Michigan has been led by QB Zach Terrell who has completed 67.5 % of his passes for 1515 yards (252.5 yards per game), 17 TD, and 6 INT. Jarvion Franklin has led the rushing attack as he compiled 532 yards and 3 TD on 99 carries. The Broncos have one of the better receivers in Daniel Braverman who had 62 receptions for 714 yards (119.0 yards per game) and 9 TDs. WR Corey Davis has also been solid chipping in with 451 yards and 5 TD’s on 35 receptions. Defensively, Western Michigan is allowing their opponents to average 31.8 ppg on 431.0 yards per game. The Broncos currently have a minus 4 turnover margin and are led on the defensive side by LB Asantay Brown (49 tackles) and DB Darius Phillips (28 tackles, 3 INT).
The Redhawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss however, just 2-5 ATS in their last 78 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Broncos are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
Western Michigan is a much better team than their 3-3 record indicates (2 of the losses came against Ohio State & Michigan State) and was a popular pick as the MAC conference favorite heading into the season. Outside of their game against Cincinnati, Miami (OH) hasn’t really shown that they can do anything on the offensive side of the ball. Western Michigan showed how dangerous of a team they are defeating a solid Ohio time on the road last week and as they need to ensure they keep winning these conference games to stay with Toledo, I think the Broncos won’t have any trouble with the Redhawks and put up enough points on the board to cover this large spread. Take Western Michigan to cover.