Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Louisiana-Monroe - 10/31/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (1-6) at Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (2-4)
College Football: Saturday, October 31, 2015 at 5:00 pm (Cajun Field)
The Line: Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns -10.5 -- Over/Under: 60.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 3
The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks will travel Cajun Field to take on the Louisiana Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns this Saturday evening in College Football action.
The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks lost their 5th straight game and dropped to 1-6 (0-3 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated 27-13 by the Idaho Vandals this past Saturday. Louisiana Monroe won the turnover margin by a 3-0 margin but was outgained by Idaho by a 489-243 margin. Leading the way for the Warhawks was WR Marcus Green who had 62 yards and a TD on six receptions. On the season Louisiana Monroe is averaging 20.4 ppg on 316 yards (217.1 passing, 98.9 rushing). Leading the way for the Warhawks offense has been QB Garrett Smith who had 12 TD and 9 INT and is averaging 213 yards per game. WR’s Ajalen Holley (41 receptions, 491 yards, 81.8 yds/game, 3 TD) and Rashon Ceaser (26 receptions, 272 yards, 90.7 yds/game, 2 TD) have been the main targets for Garrett Smith on the season. The Warhawks haven’t gotten much for their rushing attack this season and are led by Kaylon Watson who has 207 yards on 55 carries on the season. Defensively, Louisiana Monroe is allowing 36.6 ppg on 458.1 yards per game (205.4 passing, 252.7 rushing). The Warhawks have a minus-3 turnover margin and have been led defensively by LB Hunter Kissinger (63 tackles, 0.5 sacks).
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The Louisiana Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns dropped to 2-4 (1-1 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the Arkansas State Red Wolves 37-27 this past Saturday. Louisiana Lafayette fought back from being down 27-0 early in the 2nd quarter but couldn’t complete the comeback. Louisiana Lafayette outgained Arkansas State by a 485-435 margin but committed two turnovers in the loss. Leading the way for the Ragin’ Cajuns was RB Jalen Nixon who had 201 yards and a TD on 19 carries in the loss. On the season, Louisiana Lafayette is averaging 30.2 ppg on 442.2 yards per game (210.8 passing, 231.3 rushing). Offensively, the Ragin’ Cajuns have been led by running backs Elijah McGuire (102.83 rushing yards/game, 8 TD; 24 receptions, 281 yards, 2 TD) and Jalen Nixon (65.80 yards/game, 4 TD). QB Jalen Nixon has completed 54.6% of his passes for 786 yards (157.2 yards per game), 7 TD, and 4 INT). Louisiana Lafayette has three receivers who hare averaging 40+ yards per game and is led by Gabe Fuselier who has 25 receptions for 254 yards and a TD. Defensively, the Ragin’ Cajuns are allowing 33.2 ppg on 412.7 yards (204.5 passing, 208.2 rushing). Louisiana Lafayette has only forced five turnovers on the season and currently has a minus-8 turnover margin. Leading the way defensively for the Ragin’ Cajuns is LB Tracy Walker who has 48 tackles and an INT.
The Warhawks are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games however, are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Ragin’ Cajuns are 4-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games.
Louisiana Monroe is 0-4 on the road this season however, two of those losses came at the beginning of the season against Georgia and Alabama. The Ragin Cajun’s played well at Kentucky but haven’t been overly impressive this season and has really struggled with turnovers. I’m probably staying for this game but if I had to put something on it, I think Louisiana Monroe will be able to keep this one close enough to cover with the points. Take Louisiana Monroe and the points.