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Houston vs. Cincinnati - 11/7/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cincinnati Bearcats (5-3) at Houston Cougars (8-0)

College Football: Saturday, November 7, 2015 at 3:30 pm (TDECU Stadium)

The Line: Houston Cougars -8.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The Cincinnati Bearcats will travel to TDECU Stadium to take on the 18th ranked Houston Cougars this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.

The Cincinnati Bearcats had no issues improving to 5-3 (2-2 American East) on the season after defeating the UCF Knights 52-7 this past Saturday. Cincinnati got off to a hot start taking a 35-0 halftime lead against the Knights and compiled an impressive 726 yards of offense in the victory. Leading the way for the Bearcats was QB Gunner Kiel who completed all 15 of his passes for 319 yards and 5 TD. On the season, Cincinnati is averaging 38.5 ppg on 576.9 yards per game (370.6 passing, 206.3 rushing). Leading the way for the Bearcats offense has been the strong QB play of both Gunner Kiel (68.9 comp %, 252.3 yards/game, 12 TD, 5 INT) and Hayden Moore (59.1 comp %, 239.0 yards/game, 8 TD, 6 INT) who has filled in for Kiel on multiple occasions this season. The Bearcats use a rotation of three RB’s which include Hosey Williams (12.00 att/game, 68.50 yards/game, 3 TD), Tion Green (13.13 att/game, 67.75 yards/game, 5 TD), and Mike Boone (8.00 att/game, 73.17 yards/game, 4 TD). Leading the way for the WR’s has been Shaq Washington (6.9 rec/game, 80.6 yards/game, 4 TD) and Johnny Holton (2.5 rec/game, 66.7 yards/game, 5 TD). Defensively, Cincinnati is allowing their opponents to average 26.4 ppg on 376.9 yards per game (204.1 passing, 172.8 rushing). Cincinnati has been hurt by turnovers on the season and currently has a minus-9 turnover margin. Leading the way defensively for the Bearcats has been LB Eric Wilson (76 Tackles) and DL Silverberry Mouhon (23 Tackles, 2.5 Sacks).  

Houston vs. Cincinnati - 11/7/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The 18th ranked Houston Cougars remained a perfect 8-0 (4-0 American West) on the season after defeating the Vanderbilt Commodores 34-0 this past Saturday. Houston got a great effort from their defense against Vanderbilt as they held the Commodores to just 185 yards of offensive and forced Vanderbilt into committing 4 turnovers. Leading the way in the victory was QB Greg Ward Jr. who had 221 yards passing and a TD through the air while gaining 33 yards and a TD on the ground. On the season, Houston is averaging 45.9 ppg on 537.4 yards per game (263.5 passing, 273.9 rushing). Greg Ward Jr. has been the focal point of the Houston offense this season as he is one of the best duel-threat QB’s in the country. Currently, Ward is averaging 244.4 passing yards/per game and 88.75 rushing yards/game while compiling 27 total TD’s. Ward’s biggest threats at the receiver position have been Demarcus Ayers (7.0 rec/game, 89.1 yards/game, 5 TD) and Chance Allen (3.9 rec/game, 56.4 yards/game, 2 TD). Kenneth Farrow leads the Cougars rushing attack and has 9 TD’s on the season while averaging 93.88 yards/game. Defensively, Houston has been impressive as they are holding their opponents to just 17.3 ppg on 339.9 yards/game (236.3 passing, 103.6 rushing). Houston has forced an impressive 22 turnovers this season and has a turnover margin of plus 15. Leading the way defensively has been LB Steven Taylor (61 tackles, 8.0 Sacks, 1 INT) and DB Adrian McDonald (50 Tackles, 0.5 Sacks, 4 INT).

The Bearcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in November and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win. The Cougars are 4-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.

There should be plenty of offense in this game and although Cincinnati had looked strong since getting Gunner Kiel back in the lineup, I think the turnover prone Bearcats will have some trouble with the Houston defense on the road. Cincinnati is just 1-2 with their only win coming against the 1-8 Miami (OH) Redhawks, 37-33, and as I don’t see the Bearcats being able to contain Gary Ward Jr., I ‘m going to take Houston to cover this spread at home. Take Houston to cover. 

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Houston Cougars -8.5

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