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Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves - 11/14/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Arkansas State Red Wolves (6-3) at Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (1-8)

College Football: Saturday, November 14, 2015 at 3:00 pm (Malone Stadium)

The Line: Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks +11.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN3

The Arkansas State Red Wolves hope to stay perfect in the Sun Belt with a win at the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves are getting plenty of scoring which has led to five consecutive victories and first place in the Sun Belt after knocking off former conference leader Appalachian State 40-27.The Red Wolves won the yardage battle 517-455 while forcing three turnovers including a fumble return for a touchdown. Quarterback Fredi Knighten led a balanced ASU attack with 208 passing yards and a touchdown on 14-25 effort with Dijon Paschal grabbing four passes for 117 yards. Michael Gordon led Arkansas State on the ground with 136 yards on 17 touches and a trip to the end zone as both sides of the ball contributed.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves - 11/14/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks have had trouble putting up points and getting stops which has led to a seven game slide. Both trends continued in a 51-14 defeat at Troy to drop ULM to 1-8. The Trojans amassed almost 500 yards with most coming through the air while the Warhawks logged 376 yards and gave the ball away a whopping six times. Quarterback Garrett Smith completed 23-39 for 257 yards with a pair of touchdowns and two interceptions including a pick six. Marcus Green led UL Monroe with 12 receptions for 149 yards and a score.  Smith and Ben Luckett combined for 78 rushing yards on 21 touches as the Warhawks didn’t run much. 

The over is 4-0 in Red Wolves last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game and  is 4-0 in Red Wolves last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game while going  8-0 in Red Wolves last 8 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0 in Warhawks last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and the under is 7-0 in Warhawks last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game while the Warhawks are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. The Red Wolves are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Arkansas State controls their own fate so let’s see them do it….

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Arkansas State -11.5

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