Baylor vs. Texas - 12/5/15 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Texas Longhorns (4-7) at Baylor Bears (9-2)
College Football: Saturday, December 5, 2015 at 12:00 pm (McLane Stadium)
The Line: Baylor Bears -20 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Texas Longhorns and Baylor Bears square off Saturday afternoon at McLane Stadium.
The Texas Longhorns look for a feel good victory after losing three of their last four games. Tyrone Swoopes is completing 47.3 percent of his passes for 386 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Swoopes has 36 pass attempts in his last three games. Daje Johnson and John Burt have combined for 800 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Armanti Foreman has 11 receptions. The Texas Longhorns ground game is averaging 231 yards per contest, and D’Onta Foreman leads the way with 681 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Texas is allowing 31.5 points and 450.2 yards per game. Peter Jinkens leads the Longhorns with 75 tackles, Dylan Haines has five interceptions and Naashon Hughes has 4.5 sacks. Jerrod Heard, Johnathan Gray and Malik Jefferson are questionable.
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The Baylor Bears look to win double-digit games for the fourth time in five seasons. Chris Johnson is completing 35.3 percent of his passes for 200 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions. Johnson has 38 career pass attempts with the Baylor Bears. Corey Coleman and KD Cannon have combined for 2,116 receiving yards and 26 touchdowns while Jay Lee has 35 receptions. The Baylor Bears ground game is averaging 291.5 yards per contest, and Shock Linwood leads the way with 1,298 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, Baylor is allowing 27.9 points and 396.5 yards per game. Grant Campbell leads the Bears with 83 tackles, Xavien Howard has five interceptions and Jamal Palmer has 5.5 sacks. Orion Stewart, Byron Bonds and Beau Blackshear are questionable.
The Longhorns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The Bears are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in December and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Longhorns are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
The Texas Longhorns don't have the defense to stop Baylor and they don't have the offense to keep up. After all, the Longhorns have been outscored by the Bears 58-17 over the last two seasons. Baylor is on a different planet than Texas, even with a third string quarterback. I look for Baylor to win this in blowout fashion, as the Longhorns are simply outmatched.