Georgia State vs. San Jose State - 12/19/15 College Football AutoNation Cure Bowl Pick, Odds, and Prediction
San Jose State Spartans (5-7) at Georgia State Panthers (6-6)
College Football: Saturday, December 19, 2015 at 7:00 pm (Florida Citrus Bowl)
The Line: Georgia State Panthers +4 -- Over/Under: 57 See the Latest Odds
The San Jose State Spartans and Georgia State Panthers will square off in the AutoNation Cure Bowl on Saturday, November 19th in College Football action.
The San Jose State Spartans had an up and down season finishing the year 2nd in the MW-West standings with a 4-4 record and had an overall record of 5-7. San Jose State couldn’t string together any wins this season as they didn’t win two consecutive games throughout the season and lost three of their last four. Offensively, San Jose State is averaging 28.0 ppg on 414.5 total yards per game (232.8 passing, 181.8 rushing). Leading the way for the Spartans on the season was RB Tyler Ervin who had 13 TD’s while averaging 122.42 yds/game. Ervin also had some success catching out of the back field as he 2 additional receiving TD’s while averaging 28.1 receiving yds/game. QB Kenny Potter completed 68.5% of his passes for 14 TD and 6 INT on the year while averaging 189.5 yds/game. TE Billy Freeman (3.9 rec/game, 48.4 yds/game, 6 TD), WR Hansell Wilson (2.8 rec/game, 38.7 yds/game, 4 TD), and WR Tim Crawley (3.3 rec/game, 35.3 yds/game, 5 TD) lead the way for the Spartans receivers. Defensively, San Jose State is allowing their opponents to average 28.2 ppg on 369.2 yards per game (153.6 passing, 215.6 rushing). The Spartans have only forced 11 turnovers on the season and have a turnover margin of -5.
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The Georgia State Panthers were able to win their last 4 games of the season to go 6-6 on the year including a 5-3 record in the Sun Belt conference. The Panthers have to be thrilled that they are playing in the post-season as this is a Georgia State team that went a combined 1-23 over their previous two seasons. Georgia State is averaging 27.8 ppg on 449.7 total yards per game (346.6 passing, 103.1 rushing). Leading the way for the Panthers was QB Nick Arbuckle who competed 64.1% of his passes for 26 TD’s and 11 INT while averaging an impressive 346.7 passing yds/game. Arbuckle’s’ main targets this season were Penny Hart (5.8 rec/game, 90.4 yds/game, 8 TD), Robert Davis (5.0 rec/game, 81.6 yds/game, 6 TD), and Donovan Harden (4.0 rec/game, 74.7 yds/game, 4 TD). TE Keith Rucker also chipped in with 6 receiving TD’s on the year. The Georgia State rushing attack was led by Kyler Neal who had 5 TD while averaging 29.36 yds/game. Defensively, Georgia State is allowing their opponents to average 28.4 ppg on 415.6 total yards per game (235.6 passing, 180.0 rushing). The Panthers have forced 21 turnovers on the season however, still have a turnover margin of -1.
The Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss and 18-8 ATS in their last 26 non-conference games. The Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win and 6-0-1 ATS in thier last 7 games overall.
San Jose State was expected to have a better season and although they have a great running back in Tyler Ervin, the Spartans didn’t have much success throwing the ball this season which allowed teams to focus on just containing Ervin. Georgia State has been a great story this season with their late-season success and has an outstanding QB in Nick Arbuckle. I think the Panthers will put together a solid gameplan to defend Ervin in this one and that they do enough damage in the air to pull off the win. I’m taking the Panthers on the M/L in this one.