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California vs. Air Force - 12/29/15 Armed Forces Bowl College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

California Golden Bears (7-5) at Air Force Falcons (8-5)

College Football: Tuesday, December 29, 2015 at 2:00 pm (Amon Carter Stadium)

The Line: Air Force Falcons +6.5 -- Over/Under: 63 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The Cal Golden Bears and the Air Force Falcons face off on Tuesday in college football’s Armed Forces Bowl.

The California Golden Bears finished the regular season at 7-5 losing five of their last seven games. The Cal offense is averaging 36.5 points and 524.4 yards per game and they have turned the ball over 22 times. California QB Jared Goff has completed 64.2 percent of his passes with 37 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. Khalfani Muhammad leads the Golden Bears in rushing with 529 yards and a touchdown and Kenny Lawler is the top receiver with 47 catches and 10 touchdowns and Darius Powe has 43 catches and six touchdowns. The Cal defense is allowing 30.2 points and 455.3 yards per game with 14 interceptions, 10 fumble recoveries, and 27 sacks. Hardy Nickerson is California’s leading tackler with 101, Kyle Kragen has 65 tackles and 6.0 sacks, and Damarlay Drew has 64 tackles. Cal looked good early in the season but they struggled to stop teams once they reached Pac-12 play.

California vs. Air Force - 12/29/15 Armed Forces Bowl College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Air Force Falcons finished the season at 8-5 losing in the Mountain West Championship by three points to San Diego State. The Air Force offense is averaging 33.6 points and 452.7 yards per game and they have turned the ball over 20 times. Falcons QB Karson Roberts has completed 52.2 percent of his passes with nine touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Jacobi Owens leads Air Force in rushing with 1,013 yards and six touchdowns and Garrett Brown leads in receptions with 26. The Air Force defense is allowing 23.2 points and 337.1 yards per game with 11 interceptions, six fumble recoveries, and 36 sacks. West Steelhammer leads the Falcons defense with 80 tackles and five interceptions, Roland Ladipo has 74 tackles, Alex Hansen has 64 tackles and 7.5 sacks. Air Force had won six of seven games before losing their final two.

Cal is 7-16 against the spread following a game that they didn’t cover the point spread, 2-5 against the spread in their last seven bowl games, and 0-5 against the spread against a team with a winning record. Air Force is 4-1 against the spread in their last five bowl games, 6-1 against the spread in their last seven non-conference games, and 6-14 against the spread following a loss.

The total is set at a whopping 67 points but I can still see it going over that number though I wouldn’t consider it one of my stronger plays of bowl season.

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Over 67

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