Tulsa vs. San Jose State - 9/3/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
San Jose State Spartans (6-7) at Tulsa Golden Hurricane (6-7)
College Football: Saturday, September 3, 2016 at 7:00 pm (Chapman Stadium)
The Line: Tulsa Golden Hurricane -4 -- Over/Under: 70 See the Latest Odds
TV: CBS Sports Network
The San Jose State Spartans will travel to Chapman Stadium to take on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane on Saturday, September 3rd in College Football action.
The San Jose State Spartans might have finished the season with just a 6-7 record but Head Coach Ron Caraghe had to be happy with the Spartans progress in 2015 as they improved from a 3-9 record from the year before and won a bow game (Cure Bowl) against the Georgia State Panthers. Offensively, San Jose State averaged 27.9 ppg (ranked 69th) on 404.6 total yards/game (ranked 60th) however, the Spartans will face a tough task in 2016 in replacing Tyler Erwin who averaged 123.15 yds/game while scoring 15 total TD’s. Leading the offensive this season will be QB Kenny Potter who completed 67.4% of his passes, averaged 180.4 yds/game, and had 15 TD & 7 INT. The Spartans will return their leading receiver in TE Billy Freeman (3.7 rec/game; 45.1 yds/game; 6 TD) and will hope to continue to see improvement from WR Tyler Winston (4.4 rec/game; 46.0 yds/game; 2 TD). Defensively, San Jose State held opponents to an average of 27.2 ppg (ranked T-64) and was one of the best teams in the country defending the pass as they held opponents to just 157.8 passing yds/game (ranked 2nd). The Spartans will have a lot of experience at the DL and LB positions although they will be basically replacing all but one of their players in the secondary. Leading the way defensively for San Jose State will be LB Christian Tago who led the team in tackles last season with 125.
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The Tulsa Golden Hurricane finished last season with a 6-7 overall record (3-5 AAC) and closed out their season with a shootout loss to the Virginia Tech Hokies, 55-52, in the Independence Bowl. Tulsa had no problems last year finding ways to score ball as they ranked 21st in the country in scoring (37.2 ppg) and 13th in total yards (507.4 yds/game), however, if they are going to improve they’ll need to find some answers on the defensive end as they allowed 39.8 (ranked 120th) ppg last season and gave up and average of 536.6 yds/game (ranked 125th). Leading the offense this season will be QB Dane Evans who put up monster numbers last year in the tune of a 62.9 Comp %, 333.2 yds/game, 25 TD and 8 INT. Evans main targets at WR this season will be Josh Atkinson (5.8 rec/game, 82.4 yds/game, 5 TD) and Justin Hobbs (2.5 rec/game, 42.4 yds/game, 2 TD). Leading the way at RB will be D’Angelo Brewer who had 6 TD’s last season while averaging 76.09 yds/game. Defensively, the Golden Hurricane have 7 returning starters this season including LB’s Matt Linscott (107 tackles) and Trent Martin (104 tackles). Tulsa played one of the toughest schedules when it came to opposing offenses last season and although they are still below average on the defensive line and secondary, the Golden Hurricanes has enough experience to put up better defensive numbers in 2016.
The Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Golden Hurricane are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games however, just 3-14-1 ATS in their last 18 home games.
San Jose State certainly seems to be heading in the right direction under head coach Ron Caraghe however, they will be coming into the season a bit unproven on the offensive end without having Tyler Erwin in their backfield. Tulsa needs to improve on the defensive end if they want to contend for a conference championship however, as I feel that they should be able to slow down the Spartans offensive a bit, I think the Golden Hurricanes will be able to put up enough points to cover this small home spread. Take Tulsa to cover.