Florida vs. Kentucky - 9/10/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Kentucky Wildcats (0-1) at Florida Gators (1-0)
College Football: Saturday, September 10, 2016 at 3:30 pm (Ben Hill Griffin Stadium)
The Line: Florida Gators -16.5 -- Over/Under: 47.5 See the Latest Odds
The Florida Gators and the Kentucky Wildcats face off on Saturday in The Swamp in week 2 SEC college football action.
The Florida Gators got off to a slow start in week 1 but they pulled away for a win beating UMass 24-7. The UF offense looked bogged down at times gaining 363 yards but not getting into a real rhythm until late in the game. Gators QB Luke Del Rio completed 29 of 44 passes for 256 yards and 2 touchdowns and while he was adequate he was far from spectacular. Jordan Scarlett led the Florida rushing attack with 70 yards and Antonio Callaway led the way receiving with 8 catches, Brandon Powell had 7 catches, and Josh Hammond had 5 catches. Defensively Florida allowed 7 points and just 187 yards failing to force a turnover but getting to the QB for sacks 4 times. Jarrad Davis led the Gators defense with 9 tackles, Alex Anzalone had 6 tackles, and Nick Washington and M Maye had 5 tackles each. Florida won but they were far from impressive and they will need to improve to have a solid run in the SEC.
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The Kentucky Wildcats appeared to be well on their way to a season opening win over Southern Miss but a massive collapse let a gigantic lead get away as they fell in week 1. The Kentucky offense put up 35 points and 409 yards but they turned the ball over 3 times. UK QB Drew Barker got off to a fast start but finished slow completing 62.5 percent of his passes for 323 yards, 4 touchdowns, and an interception. Stanley “Boom” Williams led the Kentucky rushing attack with 95 yards and Garrett Johnson was the top receiver with 6 catches for 143 yards and 2 touchdowns. The Kentucky defense folded in the second half allowing 520 yards for the game but they did grab three interceptions. Jordan Jones led UK in tackles with 19 including a sack, Kobie Walker had 10 tackles, and Blake McClain had nine tackles and an interception. It will be interesting to see how Kentucky bounces back from Saturday’s disaster.
Florida is 7-2 against the spread in their last 9 SEC games, 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 games, 0-5 against the spread in their last 5 home games, and 6-1 against the spread following a game that they didn’t cover the point spread. Kentucky is 7-21 against the spread in their last 28 road games, 1-8 against the spread in their last 9 games, 0-5 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 1-4 against the spread following a loss. The favorite has covered the point spread in 8 of the last 9 meetings of these two.
I expect a higher level of play from Florida and I don’t see how Kentucky recovers from week 1 in a game that might haunt them all season. I look for Florida to dismantle UK and win easily.