North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Illinois Fighting Illini - 9/10/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
North Carolina Tar Heels (0-1) at Illinois Fighting Illini (1-0)
College Football: Saturday, September 10, 2016 at 7:30 pm (Memorial Stadium)
The Line: Illinois Fighting Illini +7 -- Over/Under: 61 See the Latest Odds
TV: BTN, BTN2
In Week 2 college football action from Memorial Stadium in Champaign, the North Carolina Tar Heels will be taking on the Illinois Fighting Illini on Saturday, September 10.
North Carolina is coming off a tough loss in Week 1, falling 33-24 to Georgia. Nick Chubb ran for a whopping 222 yards and a pair of touchdowns in that one, leading the way to a Georgia victory. The Tar Heels were up 24-23 heading into the fourth quarter, but couldn’t stem the rushing tide. North Carolina QB Mitch Trubisky had a pretty unremarkable day in Week 1, throwing for 156 yards on 24-of-40 attempts. T.J. Logan led the way in rush yards with 80 and a touchdown on six carries, while Elijah Hood added 10 carries for 72 more yards on the ground. There wasn’t much passing offense to go around, but Ryan Switzer was able to bag a game-high seven receptions for 52 yards overall. Hood added six receptions but turned them into just 28 yards in the Tar Heels loss.
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As for the Fighting Illini, they opened up the Lovie Smith era with a rousing victory in Week 1, destroying Murray State 52-3. The Illini defense set the tone early, bagging two interceptions on Murray State’s first two drives, which the offense turned into passing touchdowns for an early 14-0 lead. The Illini would score at least one touchdown in every quarter of the game. QB Wes Lunt had a nice day in Week 1 with his 226 yards and three passing scores, and Kendrick Foster led the way on the ground with a stellar 118 yards and two TDs on just four carries. Malik Turner made his team-high three catches count, turning them into 83 yards and two touchdowns in the Illinois rout.
The Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss, and 6-2 ATS against a team with a winning record. North Carolina is also 2-8 ATS in their last 10 September games, and 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.
Meanwhile, the Fighting Illini are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall, and 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games following an ATS win. Illinois is also 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a straight-up win of more than 20 points, and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
There’s a lot of buzz around Champaign, and even though Illinois was up against some sub-par competition in Week 1 I think they’ll surprise a lot of people this year. I’m taking the Fighting Illini in a low-scoring upset win this week.