Utah State vs. Arkansas State - 9/16/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Arkansas State Red Wolves (0-1) at Utah State Aggies (1-1)
College Football: Friday, September 16, 2016 at 9:00 pm (Romney Stadium)
The Line: Utah State Aggies -9 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: CBS Sports Network
The Arkansas State Red Wolves will travel Romney Stadium to take on the Utah State Aggies this Friday night in College Football action.
The Arkansas Sate Red Wolves fell to 0-2 (0-0 Sun Belt) on the season after being easily defeated by the Auburn Tigers, 51-14, this past Saturday. Arkansas State fell behind early in this one and was behind 38-7 at halftime after giving up 24 unanswered points in the 2nd quarter. The Red Wolves had no answers for the Tigers offense as they were outgained by Auburn by a 706-326 margin. Leading the way for Arkansas State was QB Chad Voytik who completed 15 of 21 passes for 215 yards and provided all the scoring for the Red Wolves with 2 rushing TD’s. On the season, Arkansas State is averaging just 12.0 ppg on 296.0 total yards per game (192.0 passing, 104.0 rushing). QB Chad Voytik has led the way for the Red Wolves as although he yet to throw for a TD on the year, is completing 57.8% of his passes for an average of 169.5 yds/G. Voytik does have to ability to some damage with his legs is averaging 25.0 yds/G and has 2 rushing TD’s on the ground this season. Leading the way in the backfield has been RB Warren Wand who is averaging 57.0 yds/G on 14 carries per game. TE Black Mack (2.5 Rec/G, 68.0 Yds/G) and WR Christian Booker (4.5 Rec/G, 52.5 Yds/G) have been the biggest threats at the receiver position for the Red Wolves. Defensively, Arkansas State is allowing their opponents to average 41.0 ppg on 631.0 total yards per game (307.5 passing, 323.5 rushing). Arkansas State has a done a nice job concerning turnovers as they currently have a turnover margin of plus 3 and are led by LB Xavier Woodson-Luster who had 24 tackles on the season.
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The Utah State Aggies had no answers for the USC defense and fell to 1-1 (0-0 Pac-12) on the season after being defeated by the Trojans, 45-7, this past Saturday. Utah State fell behind 31-0 before they were able to put up any points on the board and was outgained by USC by a 422-253 margin. Leading the way for Utah State was QB Kent Myers who completed 25 of 37 passes for 204 yards, 1 TD, and a INT. On the season, Utah State is averaging 26.0 ppg on 390.5 total yards per game (152.0 passing, 238.5 rushing). Offensively, the Aggies are led by RB Devante Mays who has 3 TD’s and is averaging 116 rushing yds/G on 13.00 Att/G. QB Kent Myers is averaging just 152.0 passing yds/G but is completing 66.7% of his passes. TE Wyatt Houston (3.5 rec/G, 32.5 yds/G, 1 TD) and WR Rayshad Lewis (3.5 rec/G, 30.0 yds/G) are leading way for the Aggies receivers. Defensively, Utah State is allowing their opponents to average 25.5 ppg on an average of 333.5 yards per game (190.5 passing, 143.0 rushing). The Aggies have a turnover margin of plus 1 on the season and have been led by DB Dallin Leavitt who had 21 tackles and an INT early on in the season.
The Red Wolves are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game however, are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games. The Aggies are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 Friday games and 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Arkansas State was projected to be one of the better teams in the Sun Belt this season however and although they’ve faced a tough opening schedule against Toledo and Auburn, it’s hard to ignore how much their defense has struggled, especially against the run. Utah State is somewhat in rebuilding mode on both sides of the ball however, has to be happy with the production they have been getting out of RB Devante Mays. Utah State is generally a tough place to play however, Arkanasas State is a much better team on the both sides of the ball that they have shown and I think the Red Wolves are getting too many points in this one to pass on. Take Arkansas State and the points.