Memphis vs. Kansas - 9/17/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Kansas Jayhawks (1-1) at Memphis Tigers (1-0)
College Football: Saturday, September 17, 2016 at 12:00 pm (Liberty Bowl)
The Line: Memphis Tigers -20 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN U
The Kansas Jayhawks will travel to Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium to take on the Memphis Tigers this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The Kansas Jayhawks (1-1, 0-0 Big 12) finally were able to pick up a win for head coach David Beaty in their opening game victory over the Rhode Island Rams however, couldn’t make it two in the row as the Jayhawks fell to the Ohio Bobcats, 37-21, this past Saturday. Kansas couldn’t come back after falling behind by a 28-7 margin at halftime and was outgained by Ohio by a 496-232 margin. Kansas was dominated by Ohio in terms of possession time as Ohio had possession of the ball for over 44 minutes in the game. Leading the way for the Jayhawks was QB Montell Cozart who completed 17 of 24 passes for 198 yards and TD’s. On the season, Kansas is averaging 38.0 ppg on 401.0 total yards per game (302.5 passing, 98.5 rushing). QB Montell Cozart had been solid early in the season as he 5 TD’s and just 1 INT while completing 71.4% his passes and averaging 198.5 yds/game. WR Steven Sims Jr. has been the biggest threat at WR for Kansas as he has 4 TD’s and is averaging 119.0 yds/game on 4.5 rec/game. WR LaQuvionte Gonzalez has also been solid as he has a TD and is averaging 61.5 yds/game on 6.0 rec/game. Leading the backfield for Kansas has been RB Ke’aun Kinner who had a TD and is averaging 42.5 rushing yards/game on 6.00 att/game. Defensively, Kansas is allowing their opponents to average 21.5 points per game on 357.5 total yards per game (108.0 passing, 249.5 rushing). Kansas has a turnover margin of minus 1 on the season and is led by DB Bazie Bates IV who had 15 tackles and an INT on the season.
USA TODAY Sports
The Memphis Tigers come into the season with a 1-0 (0-0 AAC) on the season after they defeated the Southeast Missouri State Redhawks, 35-17, on September 3rd. Memphis jumped out early in this one as they led SE Missouri State 22-0 after the 1st quarter and 29-3 at halftime. Memphis did commit 3 turnovers in the victory but was solid on the defense end as they outgained the Redhawks by a 405-253 margin. Leading the way for Memphis was QB Riley Ferguson who completed 26 of 40 passes for 295 yards, 3 TD’s, and 2 INT. Memphis has the challenge this season to replace QB Paxton Lynch who helped led Memphis to the 11th ranked offensive in terms of scoring (40.2 ppg) in 2015. Memphis likes to use a high-tempo offense and along with new QB Riley Ferguson, the Tigers return a solid receiving core led by Anthony Miller, Phil Mayhue, and Roderick Proctor. Leading the backfield will be RB Doroland Dorceus who had 8 TD and averaged 50.69 yds/G on 11.92 Att/G. Defensively, Memphis was solid last season as they held their opponents to an average of 27.3 ppg on 406.7 total yards per game. The Tigers have 7 starters returning on their defense and have a solid front-seven led by LB Genard Avery and LB Shareef White.
The Jayhawks are 9-26-1 ATS in their last 36 road games and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a bye week. The Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week however, just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Kansas might have been able to put up a 55-point performance against Rhode Island however, don’t be mistaken by their current offensive numbers as the Jayhawks still more represent the offense that ranked 122nd last season in scoring offensive. Memphis will have a lot of trouble of replacing Paxton Lynch however, still has enough talent to be competitive in the AAC this season. It’s hard to see exactly where Memphis will fare this season after just one performance against SE Missouri State, however, I don’t see the Tigers having any trouble on both sides of the ball against Kansas and think they’ll easily win this one by at least 3 TD’s. Take Memphis to cover.