Stanford Cardinal vs. USC Trojans - 9/17/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
USC Trojans (1-1) at Stanford Cardinal (1-0)
College Football: Saturday, September 17, 2016 at 8:00 pm (Stanford Stadium)
The Line: Stanford Cardinal -8.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The USC Trojans will travel to play the Stanford Cardinal in a PAC-12 game in week 3.
The Stanford Cardinal are 1-0 this season after beating Kansas State by a score of 26-13 in week 1. Stanford jumped out to an early lead in this game and was able to hang on for the win in the second half. The Stanford offense had 26 points with 138 rushing yards and 167 passing yards in their win. Ryan Burns threw for 156 yards and 1 touchdown for Stanford. Christian McCaffrey rushed for 126 yards and 2 touchdowns for the Cardinal. Michael Rector caught 4 passes for 73 yards and 1 touchdown for Stanford. The Stanford defense gave up 13 points with 130 rushing yards and 243 passing yards. Zach Hoffpauir led the Stanford defense with 9 tackles, while Dallas Lloyd added 3 tackles and an interception. Conrad Ukropina went 1-1 on field goals, with a long of 50 yards.
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The USC Trojans are 1-1 this season after beating Utah State by a score of 45-7. USC shut out Utah State in the first half and cruised to the victory in the second half. The USC offense is averaging 25.5 points per game with 121 rushing yards and 187 passing yards per game. Max Browne is completing 62.7% of his passes for 283 yards and 2 touchdowns for USC this season. Justin Davis has rushed for 72 yards, while Ronald Jones II has rushed for 54 yards for USC. Jones was banged up against Utah State but the injury isn’t serious. Darreus Rogers has caught 9 passes for 127 yards, while JuJu Smith-Schuster has caught 8 passes for 65 yards and 2 touchdowns for USC. The USC defense is giving up 29.5 points per game with 145.5 rushing yards and 213.5 passing yards per game. Cameron Smith leads the USC defense with 22 tackles, while Porter Gustin has added 15 tackles and 2 sacks. Matt Boermeester is 3-4 on field goals this season, with a long of 47 yards.
USC is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 7-19 ATS in their last 26 road games. The under is 8-3 in USC’s last 11 road games. Stanford is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a win and 20-8 ATS in their last 28 September games. The over is 8-2 in Stanford’s last 10 games following an ATS win. The underdog is 8-2 ATS in these two teams last 10 meetings. The road team is 9-3 ATS in these two teams last 12 meetings.
This should be a very exciting game between two teams that could end up meeting in the PAC-12 championship game. Stanford is coming off of a bye week and will be well rested, while USC is coming off of an easy win in week 2. Stanford didn’t look as strong as I had hoped in week 1, while USC looked very impressive in their win against Utah State in week 2. The key to this game will be Christian McCaffrey and if USC can contain him, which is easier said than done. I think this game could go either way, so I am taking the points with USC.