Texas at Cal - 9/17/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Texas Longhorns (2-0) at California Golden Bears (1-1)
College Football: Saturday, September 17, 2016 at 10:30 pm (California Memorial Stadium)
The Line: California Golden Bears +8 -- Over/Under: 80.5 See the Latest Odds
The Texas Longhorns and California Golden Bears meet late Saturday night at Memorial Stadium.
The Texas Longhorns look for their first road victory and improve to 3-0 on the season. Shane Buechele is completing 71.7 percent of his passes for 524 yards, six touchdowns and one interception. Buechele enters this game with 53 career pass attempts under his belt. John Burt and Jerrod Heard have combined for 258 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Jacorey Warrick has nine receptions. The Texas Longhorns ground game is averaging 204 yards per contest, and Chris Warren III leads the way with 141 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Texas is allowing 27 points and 326 yards per game. Malik Jefferson leads the Longhorns with 14 tackles, Kevin Vaccaro has two sacks and Sheroid Evans has two pass deflections.
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The California Golden Bears look for a strong home victory to get a game above a .500 record. Davis Webb is completing 62.7 percent of his passes for 963 yards, nine touchdowns and three interceptions. Webb has 11 touchdown passes on his last 167 pass attempts. Chad Hansen and Vic Wharton III have combined for 483 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Bug Rivera has eight receptions. The California Golden Bears ground game is averaging 135.5 yards per contest, and Vic Enwere leads the way with 145 yards on 20 carries. Defensively, Cal is allowing 38 points and 472.5 yards per game. Cameron Saffle leads the Golden Bears with 13 tackles, DeVante Wilson has one sack and Cameron Walker has one interception.
The Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Pac-12 and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Golden Bears are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
I like the way Texas is showing signs of turning the corner and we'll continue to make money backing this team this season. However, Cal is no pushover. We're talking about a team that scores points in bunches, nearly upset a very good San Diego State on the road last week and has won six of its last seven home games. The Golden Bears can put points up quickly and we have yet to see this new Texas team on the road this season.
The physical play of the Longhorns could get them another victory here, but there's value with Cal and the points at home.