Memphis vs. Bowling Green - 9/24/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Bowling Green Falcons (1-2) at Memphis Tigers (2-0)
College Football: Saturday, September 24, 2016 at 8:00 pm (Liberty Bowl)
The Line: Memphis Tigers -16.5 -- Over/Under: 62.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN News
The Bowling Green Falcons will travel to Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium to take on the Memphis Tigers this Saturday night in College Football action.
The Bowling Green Falcons fell to 1-2 (0-0 MAC) on the season after being defeated by the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, 41-21, this past Saturday. Bowling Green was only down by a 28-21 margin at halftime but was held scoreless in the 2nd half in the loss. Bowling Green was outgained by Memphis by a 436-433 margin and committed 4 turnovers in the loss. Leading the way for Bowling Green was RB Josh Cleveland who had 153 yards and a TD on 18 carries. On the season, Bowling Green is averaging 19.3 ppg on 364.7 total yards per game (210.3 passing, 154.3 rushing). Offensively, Bowling Green has been led by the RB duo of Josh Cleveland (11.67 att/game, 76.0 yds/game, TD) and Fred Coppet (17.33 att/game, 66.0 yds/game). QB James Knapke has completed 50.5% of his passes with 3 TD and 6 INT while averaging 184.7 passing yards per game. Scott Miller (5.0 rec/game, 75.7 yards/game, 3 TD) and WR Ronnie Moore (4.0 rec/game, 33.7 yds/game) have been the biggest threats at the receiver position for the Falcons. Defensively, Bowling Green is allowing their opponents to average 48.0 ppg on 533.3 total yards per game (304.7 passing, 228.7 rushing).
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The Memphis Tigers improved to 2-0 (0-0 AAC) on the season after easily defeating the Kansas Jayhawks, 43-7, this past Saturday. Memphis had little trouble wrapping this game early as the Tigers held a 33-7 lead at halftime. Memphis outgained the Jayhawks by a 394-314 margin and forced the Jayhawks into committing 6 turnovers in the victory. Leading the way for Memphis was WR Anthony Miller who 93 yards and TD on 5 receptions. On the season, Memphis is averaging 39.0 ppg on 399.5 total yards per game (168.0 passing, 115.5 rushing). QB Riley Ferguson has done a nice job replacing Paxton Lynch as Ferguson is completing 64.1% of his passes with 5 TD and 2 INT while averaging 242.0 yds/game. Ferguson’s main target has been Anthony Miller who has 14 receptions for 196 yards and a TD on the season. Also pitching in at the WR position has been Daniel Hurd (2.5 rec/game, 29.0 yds/game) and WY Phil Mayhue (2.5 rec/game, 27.5 yds/game, TD). Leading the Tigers backfield has been Patrick Taylor Jr (10.00 att/game, 87.0 yds/game) and Doroland Dorceus (10.5 att/game, 30.5 yds/game, 2 TD). Defensively, Memphis is holding their opponents to average just 12.0 ppg on 283.5 total yards (168.0 passing, 115.5 rushing).
The Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss however, is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Tigers are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 non-conference games and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games in September.
Bowling Green was hit as hard as any team during the offseason as they returned just 10 total starters and lost major pieces on the offense including QB Matt Johnson and WR Roger Moore. Memphis also lost their starting QB in Paxton Lynch however it looks as if Junior College transfer, Riley Ferguson is fitting in fine with fast-paced Memphis offense. Bowling Green seems like they need to rely on their run game for offense and as for fact that the strength of the Memphis defense is in the front 7, I’m going to say that Memphis does enough in this one to cover this spread at home. Take Memphis to cover.