Texas Tech vs. Kansas - 9/29/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Kansas Jayhawks (1-2) at Texas Tech Red Raiders (2-1)
College Football: Thursday, September 29, 2016 at 8:30 pm (Jones AT&T Stadium)
The Line: Texas Tech Red Raiders -28 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Kansas Jayhawks and Texas Tech Red Raiders meet in a Big 12 showdown Thursday night at Jones AT&T Stadium on FS1.
The Kansas Jayhawks look for their first road win since 2009 to get back to a .500 record. Texas Tech QB Montell Cozart is completing 67.6 percent of his passes for 484 yards, five touchdowns and three interceptions. Cozart has seven touchdown passes on his last 176 pass attempts. Texas Tech receivers Steven Sims Jr. and LaQuvionte Gonzalez have combined for 420 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Tyler Patrick has 11 receptions. The Kansas Jayhawks ground game is averaging 106 yards per contest, and Ke'aun Kinner leads the way with 134 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Kansas is allowing 28.7 points and 369.7 yards per game. Bazie Bates IV leads the Jayhawks with 18 tackles, Dorance Armstrong Jr. has two sacks and Fish Smithson has one interception.
USA TODAY Sports
The Texas Tech Red Raiders look for their fourth straight home victory to get off to a solid 3-1 start to the season. Patrick Mahomes II is completing 71.2 percent of his passes for 1,492 yards, 14 touchdowns and two interceptions. Mahomes has 18 touchdown passes in his last four games. Jonathan Giles and Cameron Batson have combined for 543 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Justin Stockton has 10 receptions. The Texas Tech Red Raiders ground game is averaging 131 yards per contest, and Demarcus Felton leads the way with 156 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Texas Tech is allowing 43.3 points and 531.3 yards per game. Jordyn Brooks leads the Red Raiders with 20 tackles, Kris Williams has one sack and Keenon Ward has one interception.
The Jayhawks are 9-27-1 ATS in their last 37 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Red Raiders are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Jayhawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
I don't know about you guys, but I don't feel comfortable laying four touchdowns with a team that's ranked 124th in the country in total defense. Only four teams are allowing more yards than Texas Tech. Also, last years contest was decided by just 10 points when Kansas was a 33-point underdog at home. I know the Jayhawks are brutal and haven't won a road game in years. However, this play is more of a fade from Texas Tech and it's trash defense than anything.
Kansas should be able to move the ball here and keep us within the number.