Appalachian State vs. Georgia State - 10/1/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Georgia State Panthers (0-3) at Appalachian State Mountaineers (2-2)
College Football: Saturday, October 1, 2016 at 12:00 pm (Kidd Brewer Stadium)
The Line: Appalachian State Mountaineers -19 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: American Sports Network; ESPN 3
The Georgia State Panthers will travel to Kidd Brewer Stadium to take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The Georgia State Panthers had a little extra time to recover from their tough 23-17 loss to the 9th ranked Wisconsin Badgers on September 17th which dropped the Panthers to 0-3 (0-0 Sun Belt) on the season. Georgia State told a 4th quarter lead after a Kyler Neal TD however, allowed the Badgers to score the last 10 points of the game to get the victory. Georgia State was outgained by Wisconsin by a 400-302 margin however, did win the turnover battle by a 2-0 margin. Leading the way for Georgia State was QB Conner Manning who completed 20 of 29 passes for 269 yards and a TD. On the season, Georgia State is averaging 17.3 ppg on 247.7 total yards per game (202.0 passing, 45.7 rushing). Offensively, the Panthers have been led by WR Robert Davis who had a TD and is averaging 77.7 yds/game on 6.3 rec/game. Also contributing for the Panthers receivers have been WR Glenn Smith (3.0 rec/game, 55.5 yds/game), TE Keith Rucker (3.0 rec/game, 21.7 yds/game), and WR Penny Hart (5.0 rec/game, 48.0 yds/game, TD). QB Conner Manning has completed 57.6% of his passes for 3 TD and a INT while averaging 189.0 passing yds/game. The Panthers backfield is led by Kyler Neal (6.33 att/game, 15.0 yds/game, TD) and Kendrick Dorn (3.33 att/game, 9.33 yds/game, TD). Defensively, Georgia State is allowing their opponents to average 34.0 ppg on 462.0 total yards per game (136.7 passing, 325.3 rushing). Georgia State has done a nice job protecting the ball as they only have 2 turnovers on the season and have a turnover margin of plus 2.
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The Appalachian State Mountaineers rebounded from their tough loss against the Miami Hurricanes and improved to 2-2 (0-0 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the Akron Zips, 45-38, this past Saturday. Appalachian State was able to get out to a comfortable 31-14 lead at halftime and used an outstanding rushing attack to hold off the Zips in the victory. Appalachian state outgained Akron by a 587-486 margin and won the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin. Leading the way for the Mountaineers was RB Jalin Moore who had 257 yards and 2 TD. On the season, Appalachian State is averaging 24.8 ppg on 383.8 total yards per game (172.0 passing, 211.8 rushing). Offensively, Appalachian State is led by a backfield duo of Jalin Moore (20.5 att/game, 101.25 yds/game, 2 TD) and Marcus Cox (16.33 att/game, 92.67 yds/game, 3 TD). QB Taylor Lamb has completed 64.2% of his passes for 5 TD and 3 INT while averaging 171.0 yds/game. Lamb has also scored two rushing TD’s on the season. Leading the Mountaineers receiving group has been TE Barrett Burns (2.0 rec/game, 32.0 yds/game, TD), Jaquil Capel (2.7 rec/game, 32.7 yds/game), and Deltron Hopkins (3.5 rec/game, 22.0 yds/game, TD). Defensively, Appalachian State is allowing their opponents to average 27.5 ppg on 420.0 total yards per game (274.8 passing, 145.3 rushing) Appalachian State has a turnover margin of plus 2 on the season.
The Panthers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. The Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Although Georgia State is 0-3 on the season, you would have to think that after nearly pulling off the upset at Wisconsin, the Panthers will have a lot of confidence going into this game with Appalachian State. Appalachian State also almost pulled off a huge upset against Tennessee to kick off their season, and although they didn’t put up much of a fight at home against Miami, the Mountaineers did pick up a nice road win against a good Akron team. I’m tempting to ride Georgia State however, the Panthers have been awful against the run early on this season and as this is the strength of the Mountaineers offense, I think Mountaineers will be able to put up another points to cover this large spread at home. Take Appalachian State to cover.