Cincinnati vs. USF - 10/1/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
USF Bulls (3-1) at Cincinnati Bearcats (3-1)
College Football: Saturday, October 1, 2016 at 7:00 pm (Nippert Stadium)
The Line: Cincinnati Bearcats -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN U
The South Florida Bulls will travel to Nippert Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bearcats this Saturday night in College Football action.
The South Florida Bulls fell to 3-1 (0-0 AAC) on the season after being defeated by the 13th ranked Florida State Seminoles, 55-35, this past Saturday. South Florida scored on their opening offensive play to take a quick 7-0 lead, however, the Bulls defense struggled throughout the game and they couldn’t fight back after being down 38-14 at halftime. South Florida was outgained by Florida State by a 647-450 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin. Leading the way for South Florida was QB Quinton Flowers who had 160 yards, TD, and INT through the air and 159 yards on the ground. On the season, South Florida is averaging 46.0 ppg on 501.5 total yards per game (243.8 passing, 257.8 rushing). Offensively, South Florida has been led by duel-threat QB Quinton Flowers who has completed 51.7% of his passes for 8 TD and 3 INT while averaging 219.0 passing yds/game. Flowers is also the Bulls leading rusher as on the season he has 2 TD’s while averaging 77.25 rushing yds/game. Besides Flowers, South Florida has a solid backfield that consists of RB D’Ernest Johnson (8.0 att/game, 55.25 yds/game, 3 TD) and RB Marlon Mack (10.0 att/game, 71.67 yds/game, 4 TD). WR Rodney Adams is the top-receiver for the Bulls as he had 3 TD’s while averaging 59.3 receiving yards per game. Adams has also been impressive in the rush game as he had 4 rushing TD’s on the season. Defensively, South Florida is allowing their opponents to average 28.0 ppg on 451.5 total yards per game (211.3 passing, 240.3 rushing).
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The Cincinnati Bearcats improved to 3-1 (0-1 AAC) on the season after defeating the Miami-OH Redhawks, 27-20, this past Saturday. Cincinnati found themselves down entering the 4th quarter but scored 10 unanswered points in the 4th to rally for the victory. Cincinnati outgained Miami-OH by a 461-313 margin however, lost the turnover battle by a 3-2 margin. Leading the way for the Bearcats was Tion Green who had 83 rushing yards and a TD. On the season, Cincinnati is averaging 27.3 ppg on 420.0 total yards per game (280.3 passing, 131.3 rushing). Offensively, leading the way for the Bearcats has been QB Hayden Moore who has completed 59.2 of his passes for 7 TD and 3 INT while averaging 261.7 passing yds/game. Moore’s main targets have been Devin Gray (4.5 rec/game, 82.8 yds/game, TD), Nate Cole (5.8 rec/game, 53.8 yds/game, 4 TD), and Kahlil Lewis (3.3 rec/game, 41.3 yds/game, TD). The Cincinnati backfield is led by Tion Green (14.5 att/game, 61.75 yds/game, TD) and Mike Boone (15.25 att/game, 54.0 yds/game, 2 TD). Defensively, Cincinnati is holding their opponents to an average of 21.8 ppg on 411.5 total yards per game (280.3 passing, 131.3 rushing). QB Hayden Moore was a last minute scratch last week due to an ankle injury and is currently listed as day-to-day.
The Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Bearcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in October and just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
South Florida couldn’t pull off the upset win over Florida State and although they do have an explosive offense, has to be a little concerned with how their defense at times has really struggled over their last two games. Cincinnati struggled a bit on the offensive end without Hayden Moore and although they do have a solid rushing attack, will need Moore for the Bearcats to have a chance against the Bulls. As Moore’s status is still up in the air, the line hasn’t been released for this one yet. Please check back once the line is released for the free pick!