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New Mexico State vs. Louisiana-Lafayette - 10/1/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (2-2) at New Mexico State Aggies (1-3)

College Football: Saturday, October 1, 2016 at 8:00 pm (Aggie Memorial Stadium)

The Line: New Mexico State Aggies +5.5 -- Over/Under: 65 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN 3

The Louisiana Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns will travel to Aggie Memorial Stadium to take on the New Mexico State Aggies this Saturday night in College Football action.

The Louisiana Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns fell to 2-2 (1-0 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the Tulane Green Way, 41-39 in 4-OT, this past Saturday. Louisiana Lafayette used Elijah McGuire TD in the 4th quarter to force the game into OT however couldn’t keep up the game going after failing the 2-point conversation in the 4th OT. Louisiana Lafayette outgained Tulane by a 377-311 margin however, lost the turnover battle by a 4-1 margin. Leading the way for the Ragin’ Cajuns was RB Elijah McGuire who 2 TD’s and 89 yards on the ground while adding 4 receptions for 48 yards and a TD. On the season, Louisiana Lafayette is averaging 26.8 ppg on 386.5 total yards per game (213.0 passing, 173.5 rushing). Offensively, Louisiana Lafayette has been led by RB Elijah McGuire who is has 3 rushing TD’s while averaging 124.25 rushing yds/game. QB Anthony Jennings has completed 61.9% of his passes for 7 TD and 4 INT while averaging 213.0 yds/game. Jennings is also the 2nd leading rusher for the Ragin’ Cajuns as he has 2 rushing TD’s while averaging 19.25 rushing yds/game. Al Riles (4.5 rec/game, 66.0 yds/game, TD), Ja’Marcus Bradley (2.8 rec/game, 50.0 yds/game, TD) and Keenan Barnes (2.5 rec/game, 33.3 yds/game, 3 TD) lead the way for the Ragin’ Cajuns WR’s. Defensively, Louisiana Lafayette is allowing their opponents to average 32.8 ppg on 399.3 total yards per game (284.0 passing, 115.3 rushing).

New Mexico State vs. Louisiana-Lafayette - 10/1/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The New Mexico State Aggies lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 1-3 (0-0 Sun Belt) after being defeated by the Troy Trojans, 52-6, this past Saturday. New Mexico State found themselves down by a 31-0 margin at halftime and gave up two special teams TD’s to the Trojans.  New Mexico State outgained Troy by a 539-492 margin but lost the turnover battle by a 5-0 margin. Leading the way for New Mexico State was WR Tyrian Taylor who had 7 receptions for 157 yards. On the season, New Mexico State is averaging 25.5 ppg on 422.8 total yards per game (283.3 passing, 139.5 rushing). Offensively, New Mexico State has been led by QB Taylor Rogers who has completed 50.9% of his passes for 5 TD and 7 INT while averaging 275.5 yds/game. Rodgers also is leading the Aggies in rushing yds/game at 44.75 and has chipped in 3 rushing TD’s. The Aggies backfield has also consisted of Xavier Hall (10.25 att/game, 44.25 yds/game, TD) and Jason Huntley (6.25 att/game, 23.75 yds/game, TD). New Mexico State also got great news last game as their most dynamic offensive players, RB Larry Rose III, returned to action. Leading the way for the New Mexico State WR’s have been Royce Caldwell (2.3 rec/game, 62.0 yds/game), Tyrian Taylor (2.3 rec/game, 44.5 yds/game), and OJ Clark (4.5 rec/game, 38.8 yds/game). Defensively, New Mexico State is allowing their opponents to average 45.8 ppg on 509.5 total yards per game (235.0 passing, 274.5 rushing).

The Ragin’ Cajuns are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing road record and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win. The Aggies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss however, just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games.

Louisiana Lafayette lost a heart-breaker to Tulane but has looked good over the past three weeks as they’ve gotten solid play from QB Anthony Jennings and their defense. New Mexico State has to be thrilled to get Larry Rose III back on the field however, unless the Aggies find some answers on the defense end, it will be hard for New Mexico State to get many wins this season. It’s tough to take Louisiana Lafayette as a road favorite but I think their offensive is going to have a ton of success against the Aggies defense and that the Ragin’ Cajun defense will do just enough for the Louisiana Lafayette to cover this small spread. Take Louisiana Lafayette to cover.  

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Louisiana Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns -5.5

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