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North Carolina at Florida State - 10/1/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

North Carolina Tar Heels (3-1) at Florida State Seminoles (3-1)

College Football: Saturday, October 1, 2016 at 3:30 pm (Doak Campbell Stadium)

The Line: Florida State Seminoles -11 -- Over/Under: 69.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN

The North Carolina Tar Heels and Florida State Seminoles meet Saturday afternoon in a crucial ACC game at Doak Campbell Stadium on ESPN.

The North Carolina Tar Heels hope to beat their third ranked opponent since the 2010 season. Mitch Trubisky is completing 74.5 percent of his passes for 1,306 yards, 10 touchdowns and zero interceptions. Trubisky has moved the chains through the air 57 times this season. Ryan Switzer and Bug Howard have combined for 639 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Austin Proehl has 15 receptions. The North Carolina Tar Heels ground game is averaging 136.7 yards per contest, and Elijah Hood leads the way with 291 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, North Carolina is allowing 30 points and 424.8 yards per game. Andre Smith leads the Tar Heels with 37 tackles, Malik Carney has 1.5 sacks and Des Lawrence has three pass deflections.

North Carolina at Florida State - 10/1/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Florida State Seminoles hope to avoid the trap game before playing their rival Miami Hurricanes next week. Deondre Francois is completing 62.8 percent of his passes for 951 yards, seven touchdowns and two interceptions. Francois has moved the chains through the air 41 times this season. Travis Rudolph and Jesus Wilson have combined for 453 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Dalvin Cook has 13 receptions. The Florida State Seminoles ground game is averaging 244.7 yards per contest, and Cook leads the way with 495 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, FSU is allowing 35 points and 413.5 yards per game. Matthew Thomas leads the Seminoles with 22 tackles, DeMarcus Walker has 5.5 sacks and Tarvarus McFadden has three interceptions.

The Tar Heels are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in October and 8-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Seminoles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Tar Heels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Florida State.

Florida State has looked a little shaky at times this season, which obviously includes a brutal blowout loss to Louisville, but even South Florida was able to hang around for about three quarters. Meanwhile, North Carolina is seriously flying the radar and is a few minutes away from beating Georgia and beating undefeated right now. The Tar Heels have great offensive weapons that can push the Seminoles kind of how the Cardinals did a few weeks ago.

Give me the points in what should be a fun game.

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North Carolina Tar Heels +11

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