Penn State vs. Minnesota - 10/1/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Minnesota Golden Gophers (3-0) at Penn State Nittany Lions (2-2)
College Football: Saturday, October 1, 2016 at 3:30 pm (Beaver Stadium)
The Line: Penn State Nittany Lions -3 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Minnesota Golden Gophers and Penn State Nittany Lions meet Saturday in a tough Big Ten matchup at Beaver Stadium.
The Minnesota Golden Gophers have a chance to start 4-0 for the first time since the 2013 season. Mitch Leidner is completing 64.5 percent of his passes for 599 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Leidner has at least one touchdown pass in nine of his last 11 games. Drew Wolitarsky and Brian Smith have combined for 336 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Nate Wozniak has six receptions. The Minnesota Golden Gophers ground game is averaging 228.3 yards per contest, and Rodney Smith leads the way with 298 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Minnesota is allowing 25 points and 347.3 yards per game. Jack Lynn leads the Golden Gophers with 22 tackles, Tai'yon Devers has three sacks and Damarius Travis has one interception.
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The Penn State Nittany Lions have a chance to get a game above a .500 record and have lost just one home game since last season. Trace McSorley is completing 63.2 percent of his passes for 949 yards, five touchdowns and three interceptions. McSorley has seven touchdown passes in his last five games. Chris Godwin and Mike Gesicki have combined for 409 receiving yards and three touchdowns while DeAndre Thompkins has 10 receptions. The Penn State Nittany Lions ground game is averaging 101.2 yards per contest, and Saquon Barkley leads the way with 317 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, Penn State is allowing 32.8 points and 386.3 yards per game. Malik Golden leads the Nittany Lions with 29 tackles, Shareef Miller has two sacks and Brandon Bell has one interception.
The Golden Gophers are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 conference games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Nittany Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Golden Gophers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Penn State has been fade material for quite some time, as the offense continues to struggle and it's getting easier and easier to zero in on Barkley, the Nittany Lions only true offensive weapon. Even the Nittany Lions defense is struggling and on the field way too often. However, this is more than a winnable game and Penn State usually plays great ball at home. Also, this is the Golden Gophers first road game of the season and they've lost five of their last eight on the road.
I give PSU the edge here because it's at home.