TCU vs. Oklahoma - 10/1/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Oklahoma Sooners (1-2) at TCU Horned Frogs (3-1)
College Football: Saturday, October 1, 2016 at 5:00 pm (Amon Carter Stadium)
The Line: TCU Horned Frogs +2 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Oklahoma Sooners and TCU Horned Frogs square off Saturday afternoon in a key Big 12 game at Amon G. Carter Stadium.
The Oklahoma Sooners are desperate for a big road victory after a disappointing 1-2 start to the season. Baker Mayfield is completing 64.7 percent of his passes for 793 yards, seven touchdowns and two interceptions. Mayfield has two or more touchdown passes in 10 of his last 11 games. Mark Andrews and Dede Westbrook have combined for 365 receiving yards and four touchdowns while A.D. Miller has seven receptions. The Oklahoma Sooners ground game is averaging 178.3 yards per contest, and Joe Mixon leads the way with 235 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Oklahoma is allowing 31.7 points and 401 yards per game. Jordan Evans leads the Sooners with 24 tackles, Ogbonnia Okoronkwo has two sacks and Jordan Thomas has two pass deflections.
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The TCU Horned Frogs look to make a statement to the conference after a decent 3-1 start to the season. Kenny Hill is completing 66.1 percent of his passes for 1,487 yards, six touchdowns and four interceptions. Hill has 29 touchdown passes on his last 501 pass attempts. John Diarse and Taj Williams have combined for 568 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Kyle Hicks has 20 receptions. The TCU Horned Frogs ground game is averaging 196 yards per contest, and Kyle Hicks leads the way with 314 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, TCU is allowing 26.3 points and 384.8 yards per game. Ty Summers leads the Horned Frogs with 39 tackles, Aaron Curry has 2.5 sacks and Nick Orr has one interception.
The Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Horned Frogs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in October and 14-5 ATS in their last 19 home games. The Sooners are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
I know Oklahoma has had an extra week to prepare for this game, but I don't care. I'm tired of backing Bob Stoops in big games only for him to crap the bed and get blown out. TCU has looked more impressive so far this season and has the offensive weapons to give this subpar OU defense all it can handle. The Horned Frogs also had some extra time to prepare considering they played last Thursday. Also, the home team has won the last three meetings between these two teams. I'm done trusting Oklahoma in toss up or big games overall.
TCU gets the win here at home.