Temple vs. SMU - 10/1/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
SMU Mustangs (2-2) at Temple Owls (2-2)
College Football: Saturday, October 1, 2016 at 12:00 pm (Lincoln Financial Field)
The Line: Temple Owls -13.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN News
The SMU Mustangs will travel to Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Temple Owls this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The SMU Mustangs fell to 2-2 (0-0 AAC) on the season after being defeated by the TCU Horned Frogs, 33-3, this past Saturday. SMU hung around early in this one as they were trailing just 6-3 at halftime, however, struggled in the 2nd half, as they allowed TCU to outscore them by a 27-0 margin. SMU was outgained by the TCU by a 589-320 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin. Leading the way for SMU was WR Courtland Sutton who had 5 receptions for 113 yards. On the season, SMU is averaging 19.8 ppg on 448.0 total yards per game (245.5 passing, 202.5 rushing). Offensively, SMU have been led by WR Courtland Sutton who had 4 TD’s and is averaging 112.3 yds/game on 4.5 rec/game. SMU lost their starting QB Matt Davis for the season due to an injury and has had to rely on freshman, Ben Hicks, who has completed just 50.0% of his passes for 2 TD and 7 INT while averaging 206.8 passing yds/game. Leading the way for the SMU backfield has been Braeden West (16.5 att/game, 93.75 yds/game, 2 TD), Ke’Mon Freeman (11.5 att/game, 50.25 yds/game), and Xavier Jones (11.0 att/game, 115.0 yds/game, TD). Defensively, SMU is allowing their opponents to average 27.0 ppg on 449.8 total yards per game (301.8 passing, 148.0 rushing). SMU’s defense has forced 11 turnovers on the season and has a turnover margin of plus 2.
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The Temple Owls improved to 2-2 (0-0 AAC) on the season after defeating the Charlotte 49ers, 48-20, this past Saturday. Charlotte held a 7-3 lead after the 1st quarter, but allowed Temple to score 28 unanswered points in the 2nd quarter to fall behind by a 31-7 margin at halftime. Temple outgained Charlotte by a 507-429 margin and won the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin. Leading the way for Temple was QB Phillip Walker who completed 15 of 26 passes for 268 yards and 2 TD. On the season, Temple is averaging 31.5 ppg on 345.8 total yards per game (218.8 passing, 127.0 rushing). Offensively, Temple has been led by the RB duo of Ryquell Armstead (9.25 att/game, 38.5 yds/game, 4 TD) and Jahad Thomas (14.5 att/game, 60.0 yds/game, 4 TD). QB Phillip Walker has completed 57.8% of his passes for 5 TD and 5 INT while averaging 211.5 passing yds/game. The Owls and Phillip Walker do a nice job spreading the ball around in the passing game and have been led by WR Keith Kirkwood (3.5 rec/game, 47.8 yds/game, 2 TD), WR Adonis Jennings (2.3 rec/game, 30.8 yds/game, TD), WR Brodrick Yancy (2.3 rec/game, 29.0 yds/game, 2 TD), and RB Jahad Thomas (4.5 rec/game, 48.5 yds/game). Defensively, Temple is holding their opponents to an average of 20.5 ppg on 327.3 total yards per game (146.0 passing, 181.3 rushing). Temple has a turnover margin of plus 3 on the season.
The Mustangs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home however, just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games. The Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
SMU suffered a huge blow losing QB Matt Davis during the 1st game of the season however, have to be really happy with the improvements they’ve seen on the defensive end as the Mustangs ranked 126th in college football last season in scoring defense at 45.7 ppg. Temple had an amazing 2015 season and although expectations can’t be as high in 2016 after losing some of their key defensive leaders, the Owls still have QB Phillip Walker and RB Jahad Thomas to help get the Owls back into a bowl game. SMU was able to put up some points on the Temple defense last season in a 60-40 loss at home and although I’m a bit nervous backing a freshman QB, I think Courtland Sutton will come up with enough big plays on the offensive end for SMU to keep this one within the number. Take SMU and the points.