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Texas State vs. Incarnate Word - 10/1/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Incarnate Word Cardinals (1-3) at Texas State Bobcats (1-2)

College Football: Saturday, October 1, 2016 at 7:30 pm (Bobcat Stadium)

The Line: Texas State Bobcats -16.5 -- Over/Under: 59.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN3

The Incarnate Word Cardinals and Texas State Bobcats clash Saturday night at Bobcat Stadium.

The Incarnate Word Cardinals would love nothing more than a big road win after a rough 1-3 start to the season. Trent Brittain is completing 49.6 percent of his passes for 917 yards, eight touchdowns and three interceptions. Brittain must be more effective through the air for the Cards to turn things around. Jordan Hicks and Kody Edwards have combined for 508 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Jamari Gilbert has seven receptions. The Incarnate Word Cardinals ground game is averaging 90.7 yards per contest, and Broderick Reeves leads the way with 179 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Incarnate Word is allowing 31.5 points and 412.3 yards per game. Sean Hoeferkamp leads the Cardinals with 30 tackles, Alex Jenkins has two sacks and Robert Hayes has three pass deflections.

Texas State vs. Incarnate Word - 10/1/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Texas State Bobcats look for a bounce back performance after back-to-back losses. Tyler Jones is completing 61.3 percent of his passes for 601 yards, four touchdowns and four interceptions. Jones has thrown at least one pick in five straight games. Elijah King and Eric Luna have combined for 253 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Gabe Schrade has eight receptions. The Texas State Bobcats ground game is averaging 53.6 yards per contest, and Stedman Mayberry leads the way with 132 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Texas State is allowing 53.3 points and 553.3 yards per game. Bryan London leads the Bobcats with 33 tackles, Gavin Graham has one sack and Clarence Guidry III has two pass deflections.

This is a hard game to cap considering Incarnate Word has been beat up this season by teams with far less talent than Texas State. On the flip side, the Bobcats are one of the worst defensive teams in the country and have scored just six points in their last two games. Only Bowling Green is allowing more yards per game than the Bobcats. I'm not comfortable laying a healthy number with that being the case.

This game is one you should stay away from, but if forced to pick, the value is with the points as more of a fade from the Bobcats and that brutal defense. 

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Incarnate Word Cardinals +16.5

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