USC Trojans vs. Arizona State Sun Devils - 10/1/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Arizona State Sun Devils (4-0) at USC Trojans (1-3)
College Football: Saturday, October 1, 2016 at 8:30 pm (Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum)
The Line: USC Trojans -6 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Arizona State Sun Devils will travel to play the USC Trojans in a PAC-12 game in week 5.
The USC Trojans are 1-3 (0-2) this season after losing to Utah by a score of 31-27 in their last game. USC led by 10 points in the fourth quarter, but was not able to secure the victory. The USC offense is averaging 22 points per game with 143 rushing yards and 215.8 passing yards per game. Sam Darnold is completing 66.7% of his passes for 389 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception for USC. Justin Davis has rushed for 261 yards and 1 touchdown, while Ronald Jones has rushed for 132 yards and 1 touchdown for the Trojans. JuJu Smith-Schuster has caught 19 passes for 197 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Darreus Rogers has caught 18 passes for 211 yards for USC. The USC defense is giving up 29.2 points per game with 194.8 rushing yards and 199.8 passing yards per game. Cameron Smith has led the USC defense with 43 tackles and 1 fumble recovery, while Porter Gustin has added 32 tackles, 4.5 tackles for loss, and 2 sacks. Matt Boermeester has gone 6-7 on field goals for USC, with a long of 47 yards. USC has lost all three games that they have played against ranked opponents and have not looked strong at all on offense.
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The Arizona State Sun Devils are 4-0 (1-0) this season after beating California by a score of 51-41. Arizona State was able to score 31 points in the fourth quarter to secure their first conference victory of the season. The Arizona State offense is averaging 48.8 points per game with 236.5 rushing yards and 271.2 passing yards per game. Manny Wilkins is completing 67.2% of his passes for 1085 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions for Arizona State. Demario Richard has rushed for 348 yards and 1 touchdown, while Kalen Ballage has rushed for 277 yards and 9 touchdowns for the Sun Devils. Tim White has caught 21 passes for 221 yards, while N’Keal Harry has caught 16 passes for 188 yards and 2 touchdowns for Arizona State. The Arizona State defense is giving up 34.2 points per game with 95 rushing yards and 404 passing yards per game. Armand Perry has led the ASU defense with 27 tackles and 2 tackles for loss, while JoJo Wicker has added 17 tackles, 3 tackles for loss, and 1.5 sacks. Zane Gonzalez has gone 11-12 on field goals this season for Arizona State, with a long of 54 yards. Arizona State has impressed me this season, but their pass defense needs to get better if they want to compete for PAC-12 championship.
Arizona State is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The over is 6-1 in Arizona State’s last 7 games. USC is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games following a loss and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. The under is 5-1-1 in USC’s last 7 games on grass. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in these two teams last 5 matchups.
Arizona State is another team that doesn’t like to play too much defense, and I think USC will take advantage of it. USC played a lot better in their last game and should have won, if they hadn’t fallen apart in the fourth. I like USC to finally get their offense going and get the win.