West Virginia vs. Kansas State - 10/1/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Kansas State Wildcats (2-1) at West Virginia Mountaineers (3-0)
College Football: Saturday, October 1, 2016 at 3:30 pm (Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium)
The Line: West Virginia Mountaineers -3.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Kansas State Wildcats and West Virginia Mountaineers square off Saturday afternoon at Milan Puskar Stadium.
The Kansas State Wildcats look for their first road win of the season to make a statement to the rest of the Big 12. Jesse Ertz is completing 56.4 percent of his passes for 418 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Ertz enters this game with 55 career pass attempts under his belt. Dominique Heath and Deante Burton have combined for 198 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Byron Pringle has four receptions. The Kansas State Wildcats ground game is averaging 197.6 yards per contest, and Ertz leads the way with 145 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Kansas State is allowing 11 points and 179 yards per game. Elijah Lee leads the Wildcats with 19 tackles, Jordan Willis has two sacks and Kendall Adams has one interception.
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The West Virginia Mountaineers look to stay hot and win would be their sixth straight home game. Skyler Howard is completing 68.5 percent of his passes for 974 yards, six touchdowns and three interceptions. Howard has 11 touchdown passes in his last four games. Shelton Gibson and Daikiel Shorts Jr. have combined for 600 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Ka'Raun White has 11 receptions. The West Virginia Mountaineers ground game is averaging 208.3 yards per contest, and Justin Crawford leads the way with 227 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, West Virginia is allowing 21.3 points and 462.7 yards per game. Rasul Douglas leads the Mountaineers with 20 tackles, Justin Arndt has one sack and Al-Rasheed Benton has one interception.
The Wildcats are 20-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Mountaineers are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 conference games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Kansas State enters this game with the best defense in the country and has won the last four games against West Virignia. And while those stats are cool and all, the Mountaineers are still going to find ways to move the ball and get in the end zone. The offense is too explosive and has scored 26 or more points in 10 of their last 12 games. I'm not sure KSU and its young quarterback can keep up in this one. I usually take Bill Snyder and the points whenever possible, but WVU and the low line at home makes too much sense here.