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Hawaii vs. Nevada - 10/2/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Nevada Wolf Pack (2-2) at Hawaii Warriors (1-3)

College Football: Sunday, October 2, 2016 at 12:00 am (Aloha Stadium)

The Line: Hawaii Warriors +3.5 -- Over/Under: 58 See the Latest Odds

TV: OC Sports

The Nevada Wolfpack will travel to Aloha Stadium to take on the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors this Saturday night in College Football action.

The Nevada Wolfpack fell to 2-2 (0-0 MW) on the season after being defeated by the Purdue Boilermakers, 24-14, this past Saturday. Nevada held a 14-10 halftime lead over the Boilermakers however, couldn’t get the offensive to put up any points in the 2nd half in the loss. Nevada was outgained by Purdue by a 466-253 margin however, did win the turnover battle by a 4-0 margin. Leading the way for the Wolfpack was QB Tyler Stewart who completed 22 of 29 passes for 178 yards and 2 TD. On the season, Nevada is averaging 23.0 ppg on 359.3 total yards per game (186.0 passing, 173.3 rushing). Offensively, leading the way for the Wolfpack has been RB James Butler who had 5 rushing TD’s while averaging 96.25 yds/game. QB Tyler Stewart has completed 68.1% of his passes for 5 TD and an INT while averaging 158.8 yds/game. Nevada has 5 receivers that are averaging between 20.0 – 41.0 yards and have been led by Wyatt Demps (3.5 rec/game, 32.3 yds/game, 2 TD), Jerico Richardson (3.0 rec/game, 33.0 yds/game, TD), and James Butler (3.3 rec/game, 24.0 yds/game, TD). Defensively, Nevada is allowing their opponents to average 26.0 ppg on 429.0 total yards per game (174.3 passing, 254.8 rushing).

Hawaii vs. Nevada - 10/2/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors dropped to 1-3 on the season after being defeated by the Arizona Wildcats, 47-28, this past Saturday. Hawai’i fell behind by a 34-7 margin by halftime and allowed the Wildcats rushing attack to gain 347 yards in the loss. Hawai’i was outgained by Arizona by a 582-429 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 2-0 margin. Leading the way for Hawai’i was RB Steven Lakalaka who had 2 TD’s and 63 rushing yards on 16 carries. On the season, Hawai’i is averaging 25.8 ppg on 380.3 total yards per game (212.3 passing, 168.0 rushing). Offensively, leading the way for the Rainbow Warriors has been rushing duo of Diocemy Saint Juste (12.5 att/game, 64.75 yds/game, 2 TD) and Steven Lakalaka (11.5 att/game, 58.75 yds/game, 4 TD). QB Dru Brown will get the start against Nevada and has completed 53.3% of his passes for 0 TD and an INT while averaging 68.3 passing yds/game in limited action this season. Marcus Kemp is the biggest playmaker at the WR position as he has 4 TD’s while averaging 4.5 rec/game for 88.3 yds/game. Defensively, Hawai’i is allowing their opponents to average 49.3 ppg on 535.5 total yards per game (271.5 passing, 264.0 rushing).

The Wolf Pack are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. The Rainbow Warriors are 3-14-1 ATS in their last 18 games in October and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.

Although I know it’s always tough for any team to travel and play in Hawai’i, I’m still surprised that the Rainbow Warriors, who are allowing almost 50 points per game and starting an inexperienced young quarterback, are only getting about 4 points. Nevada is not going to contend in the Mountain West this season however, as James Butler and the Wolfpack offense shouldn’t have any problems finding the end zone against the weak Hawai’i defense, I’m taking Nevada to cover this small spread. Take Nevada to cover. 

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Nevada Wolfpack -3.5

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