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Florida State at Miami-FL - 10/8/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Florida State Seminoles (3-2) at Miami-FL Hurricanes (4-0)

College Football: Saturday, October 8, 2016 at 8:00 pm (Hard Rock Stadium)

The Line: Miami-FL Hurricanes -3 -- Over/Under: 64.5 See the Latest Odds


The Florida State Seminoles and Miami Hurricanes meet Saturday night in a key ACC matchup at Hard Rock Stadium on ABC.

The Florida State Seminoles are desperate for a bounce back victory after losing two of their last three games. Deondre Francois is completing 62.7 percent of his passes for 1,323 yards, seven touchdowns and two interceptions. Francois has just two touchdown passes in his last three games. Jesus Wilson and Dalvin Cook have combined for 626 receiving yards and one touchdown while Travis Rudolph has 17 receptions. The Florida State Seminoles ground game is averaging 240.4 yards per contest, and Cook leads the way with 635 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Florida State is allowing 35.4 points and 438.4 yards per game. Matthew Thomas leads the Florida State Seminoles with 30 tackles, DeMarcus Walker has 6.5 sacks and Tarvarus McFadden has three interceptions.

Florida State at Miami-FL - 10/8/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Miami Hurricanes have a chance to start 5-0 for the first time since the 2013 season. Brad Kaaya is completing 66.3 percent of his passes for 935 yards, eight touchdowns and three interceptions. Kaaya has won or less touchdown passes in six of his last eight games. Ahmmon Richards and Stacy Coley have combined for 457 receiving yards and five touchdowns while David Njoku has seven receptions. The Miami Hurricanes ground game is averaging 232.5 yards per contest, and Mark Walton leads the way with 445 yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, Miami is allowing 11 points and 253.3 yards per game. Jamal Carter, Sr. leads the Miami Hurricanes with 20 tackles, Joe Jackson has three sacks and Adrian Colbert has one interception.

The Seminoles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Miami and the under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. 

The Hurricanes are going to be jacked up for this game not because they're undefeated and looking like a threat in the ACC, but because they haven't beaten the Seminoles since 2009. I liked the Miami Hurricanes heading into the season, and they're playing even better than I expected with a top-10 defense in the country. FSU has been a mess all year, losing to Louisville and North Carolina, but remember the Noles also probably should have lost to Ole Miss as well. Florida State isn't ready for the combination of offensive firepower and improved defense the Canes have to bring to the table.

Give me the Miami Hurricanes and the small chalk against the FSU Seminoles. 

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Miami-FL Hurricanes -3

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