San Jose State vs. Hawaii - 10/8/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Hawaii Warriors (2-3) at San Jose State Spartans (1-4)
College Football: Saturday, October 8, 2016 at 4:30 pm (Spartan Stadium)
The Line: San Jose State Spartans -3.5 -- Over/Under: 64 See the Latest Odds
TV: OC Sports
The Hawai’i Warriors will travel to CEFCU Stadium to take on the San Jose State Spartans this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors improved to 2-3 (1-0 MW) on the season after defeating the Nevada Wolfpack, 38-17, this past Saturday. Hawai’i was outstanding on the defensive end throughout the game and scored 21 unanswered points in the 3rd quarter to pull away from the Wolfpack and secure the victory. Hawai’i outgained Nevada by a 566-397 margin however and gained an impressive 344 yards on the ground. Leading the way for the Rainbow Warriors was RB Diocemy Saint Juste who had 205 rushing yards on 19 carries. On the season, Hawai’i is averaging 28.2 ppg on 417.4 total yards per game (214.2 passing, 203.2 rushing). Offensively, the Rainbow Warriors have been led by the rushing duo of Diocemy Saint Juste (13.8 att/g, 92.8 yds/g, 2 TD) and Steven Lakalaka (10.2 att/g, 50.4 yds/g, 5 TD). QB Dru Brown, who recently replaced QB Ikaika Woolsey, has completed 31 of 48 passes for 427 yards, 2 TD, and an INT. Leading the way for the Rainbow Warriors receivers have been WR Marcus Kemp (4.8 rec/g, 88.2 yds/g, 4 TD), WR John Ursua (2.6 rec/g, 36.8 yds/g, TD) and TE Metuisela ‘Unga (.8 rec/g, 15.0 yds/g, 3 TD). Defensively, Hawai’i is allowing their opponents to average 42.8 ppg on 507.8 total yards per game (257.8 passing, 250.0 rushing). The Rainbow Warriors have struggled with turnovers on the season and currently have a turnover margin of -6.
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The San Jose State Spartans lost their 3rd straight game and dropped to 1-4 (0-1 MW) on the season after being defeated by the New Mexico Lobos, 48-41, this past Saturday. San Jose State fell behind by a 41-20 margin by the end of the 3rd quarter and although they were able to score 21 4th quarter points to make it game, couldn’t do enough to complete the comeback. San Jose State was outgained by New Mexico by a 491-443 margin and allowed New Mexico to gain an astonishing 446 rushing yards. Leading the way for the Spartans was QB Kenny Potter who completed 16 of 29 passes for 314 passing yards, 3 TD, and an INT. On the season, San Jose State is averaging 28.8 ppg on 401.8 total yards per game (237.0 passing, 164.8 rushing). Offensively, San Jose State has been led by QB Kenny Potter who has completed 58.9% of his passes for 8 TD and 3 INT while averaging 211.5 passing yds/game. Potter does a nice job spreading the ball around 8 different Spartan receivers have TD’s on the season. San Jose State’s leading receivers have been Tre Hartley (3.2 rec/g, 61.0 yds/g, 2 TD), Justin Holmes (2.6 rec/g, 59.2 yds/g, TD), and Tim Crawley (3.2 rec/g, 41.4 yds/g, 2 TD). The Spartans leading rushers have been Zamore Zigler (10.0 att/g, 62.2 yds/g, 3 TD) and Deontae Cooper (13.8 att/g, 59.4 yds/g, 2 TD). Defensively, San Jose State is allowing their opponents to average 41.2 ppg on 484.0 total yards per game (215.8 passing, 268.2 rushing). The Spartans currently have a turnover margin of -1 on the season.
The Rainbow Warriors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points however, just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games. The Spartans are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record however, just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
This has the potential to be a very high scoring game as Hawai’i and San Jose State are two of the worst defensive teams in the country as the Rainbow Warriors currently rank 124th in scoring defense while the Spartans rank 122nd. Hawai’i does have a strong rushing attack which should find success against the San Jose State defense as the Spartans ranked 124th in college football when it comes to rushing defense. San Jose State has an above average QB in Kenny Potter but the Spartans offense hasn’t been the same without RB Tyler Ervin and as I think the Rainbow Warriors are a better offense with Dru Brown, I think Hawai’i will keep this game close and actually might get the win. Take Hawai’i and the points.