UCONN vs. Cincinnati - 10/8/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Cincinnati Bearcats (3-1) at UCONN Huskies (2-3)
College Football: Saturday, October 8, 2016 at 11:30 am (Rentschler Field)
The Line: UCONN Huskies +3.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: CBS Sports Network
The Cincinnati Bearcats will travel to Rentschler Field to take on the UConn Huskies this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The Cincinnati Bearcats fell to 3-2 (0-2 AAC) on the season after being defeated by the South Florida Bulls, 45-20, this past Saturday. Cincinnati was down by just a 24-20 margin at halftime but had no answers for the Bulls defense in the 2nd half getting outscored by South Florida by a 21-0 margin. Cincinnati was outgained by South Florida by a 454-393 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 4-0 margin. Leading the way for the Bearcats was RB Tion Green who had a TD and 98 rushing yards on 12 carries. On the season, the Bearcats are averaging 25.8 ppg on 414.6 total yards per game (265.2 passing, 149.4 rushing). Offensively, Cincinnati is hoping to have QB Hayden Moore back who has missed the last 2 games due to an ankle injury as he has been their biggest offensive weapon, completing 59.2% of his passes with 7 TD and 3 INT while averaging 261.7 passing yds/game. The Bearcats backfield has been led by RB Tion Green (14.0 att/g, 69.0 yds/g, 2 TD) and Mike Boone (14.8 att/g, 49.4 yds/g, 2 TD). Leading the way for the Cincinnati receivers has been WR Devin Gray (4.0 rec/g, 68.8 yds/g, TD), Nate Cole (6.0 rec/g, 57.6 yds/g, 4 TD), and Kahlil Lewis (3.6 rec/g, 48.4 yds/g, 2 TD). Defensively, Cincinnati is allowing their opponents to average 26.4 ppg on 420.0 total yards per game (269.8 passing, 150.2 rushing). Cincinnati has forced their opponents into committing 13 turnovers this season but has also struggled protecting the ball as they currently have 13 turnovers on the season.
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The UConn Huskies fell to 2-3 (0-2 AAC) on the season after being defeated by the 6th ranked Houston Cougars, 42-14, this past Thursday. UConn has no answers on either side of the ball and didn’t put up much of a fight after falling behind by a 28-7 margin at halftime. The Huskies were outgained by the Cougars by a 540-335 margin and was only able to gain 62 rushing yards in the loss. Leading the way for UConn was WR Noel Thomas who had a TD and 135 receiving yards on 6 receptions. On the season, UConn is averaging just 19.8 ppg on an average of 350.6 total yards per game (226.8 passing, 123.8 rushing). Offensively, the Huskies have been led by QB Bryant Shirreffs who has completed 62.6% of his passes for 3 TD and 2 INT while averaging 211.6 passing yds/g. Shirreffs is also the Huskies 2nd leading rusher at 39.80 rushing yds/g and has chipped in two rushing TD’s. Also in the backfield for UConn have been Arkeel Newsome (11.6 att/g, 44.8 yds/g, 2 TD) and Ron Johnson (9.2 att/g, 29.4 yds/g, 4 TD). WR Noel Thomas Jr (9.2 rec/g, 104.6 yds/g, 2 TD) and Hergy Mayala (3.0 rec/g, 46.2 yds/g) have been the biggest weapons at the receiver position for UConn. Defensively, UConn is allowing their opponents to average 26.4 ppg on 412.8 total yards per game (294.6 passing, 118.2 rushing). The Huskies have only been able to force 2 turnovers on the defensive end this season and currently have a turnover margin of minus 4.
The Bearcats are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record however, just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. The Huskies are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record however, just 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 home games.
Cincinnati looked as if they were going to be one of the better AAC teams after their performance against Houston earlier in the season, however, the loss of the Hayden Moore to an ankle injury since that game has made the Bearcats look awful beatable. UConn couldn’t pull off another upset against Houston as they did last year, however, still has a strong rush defense (ranked 30th in College Football) and has to be encouraged that they seem to have a threat in the passing game with WR Noel Thomas. My pick in this one really comes down if Hayden Moore is playing but as it looks as of right now that he will miss this game with his ankle injury, I think the UConn defense will be able to limit the unspectacular rushing attack of the Bearcats and keep this game close enough to cover with the points. Take UConn and the points but make sure you check before game to ensure Hayden Moore isn’t playing