Boise State vs. Colorado State - 10/15/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Colorado State Rams (3-3) at Boise State Broncos (5-0)
College Football: Saturday, October 15, 2016 at 10:15 pm (Albertsons Stadium)
The Line: Boise State Broncos -25.5 -- Over/Under: 58 See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN 2
The Colorado State Rams will travel to Albertsons Stadium to take on the 15th ranked Boise State Broncos this Saturday night in College Football action.
The Colorado State Rams snapped their two game losing streak and improved to 3-3 (1-1 MW) on the season after defeating the Utah State Aggies, 31-24, this past Saturday. Colorado State outscored Utah State by a 21-0 margin in the 2nd half to complete the come from behind victory. Colorado State outgained Utah State by a 464-461 margin and won the turnover battle by a 2-0 margin. Leading the way for Colorado State was WR Michael Gallup who had a TD and 140 receiving yards on 7 receptions. On the season, Colorado State is averaging 24.8 ppg on 406 total yards per game (219.3 passing, 186.7 rushing). Offensively, the Rams have been led by freshman QB, Collin Hill who has completed 58.1% of his passes for 8 TD and 2 INT while averaging 219.2 yds/game. WR Michael Gallup has been the biggest threat at the WR position as he has 3 TD’s on the season and is averaging 4.3 rec/g and 65.7 yds/g. Olabisi Johnson (2.0 rec/g, 31.0 yds/g, 2 TD) and Robert Ruin (1.5 rec/g, 22.8 yds/g, TD) have also been productive at the WR position for the Rams. The Colorado State backfield is led by Dylan Dawkins (13.4 att/g, 65.6 yds/g, TD), Izzy Matthews (11.0 att/g, 47.0 yds/g, 3 TD), and Marvin Kinsey Jr. (7.0 att/g, 30.7 yds/g, 2 TD). Defensively, Colorado State is allowing their opponents to average 28.7 ppg on 422.7 total yards per game (236.8 passing, 185.0 rushing). Colorado State has committed 9 turnovers on the season and has a turnover margin of -2.
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The 15th ranked Boise State revenged their 2015 lost against the New Mexico Lobos and improved to 5-0 (2-0 MW) on the season after defeating the Lobos by a 49-21 margin this past Saturday. Boise State put this game away early as the Broncos held a commanding 42-7 halftime lead. Boise State outgained New Mexico by a 456-421 margin and won the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin. Leading the way for the Broncos was QB Brett Rypien who completed 21 of 28 passes for 391 yards and 5 TD’s. On the season, Boise State is averaging 36.8 ppg on 471.2 total yards per game (316.8 passing, 154.4 rushing). Offensviely, the Broncos have been led by RB Jeremy McNichols who had 9 rushing TD’s on the season and is averaging 111.6 rushing yds/game. McNichols has also been a threat in the receiving game as he has 3 TD’s and is averaging 43.2 yds/game on 3.2 rec/game. QB Brett Rypien has completed 61.5% of his passes for 11 TD and 3 INT while averaging 283.0 passing yds/game. WR Thomas Sperbeck (6.6 rec/g, 128.8 rec/g, 5 TD) and WR Cedrick Wilson (4.6 rec/g, 86.4 yds/g, 5 TD) have been outstanding at the receiver position for the Broncos. Defensively, Boise State is holding their opponents to an average of 18.6 ppg on 370.6 total yards per game (236.6 passing, 134.0 rushing). The Broncos defense has only been able to force 3 turnovers on the season and Boise State currently has a turnover margin of -3.
The Rams are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards of rushing in their previous game however, are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Colorado State has been a much improved team on the offensive end since handing the ball to freshman QB Collin Hill, however, this is still a team that has had trouble defending the passing game of their opponents as the Rams currently rank 78th in College Football in passing defense. Boise State has some of the more dynamic offensive players in the MW in RB Jeremy McNichols and WR Thomas Sperbeck, but also has a strong defense that ranks 45th in the country in total defense and 36th in rushing defense. This is a bunch of points for Boise State to cover however, as they were able to defeat the Rams by 31 points on the road last year, along with the fact the Broncos need to continue to blow-out opponents to overcome their weak 2016 schedule, I’m taking the Broncos to win this won by at least 30 and cover the spread. Take Boise State to cover.