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Southern Miss Golden Eagles at LSU Tigers - 10/15/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Southern Miss Golden Eagles (4-2) at LSU Tigers (3-2)

College Football: Saturday, October 15, 2016 at 7:30 pm (Tiger Stadium)

The Line: LSU Tigers -21 -- Over/Under: 56.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: SECN

We’ve got a great matchup on the Week 7 college football schedule on Saturday, as the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles visit the Louisiana State University Tigers at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge. 

Southern Miss comes into this game with a healthy 4-2 record, following the trend of winning two then dropping one so far this year. The Golden Eagles’ most recent loss came last Saturday against Texas-San Antonio, a 55-32 affair. In that game, Southern Miss QB Nick Mullens posted a 24-of-47 line for 370 yards and three touchdowns, while Ito Smith led the way in rushing with 20 carries for 94 yards and a TD. Allenzae Staggers was the Golden Eagles’ top receiver on six catches for 92 yards. 

Southern Miss Golden Eagles at LSU Tigers - 10/15/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

On the year for Southern Mississippi so far, Mullens is 123-for-210 with 1874 yards and a 16:8 TD:INT ratio. Smith is the Golden Eagles’ leading rusher with 119 carries for 711 yards and six touchdowns, while Staggers is tops in the receiving game with 23 receptions for 562 yards and five TDs. 

Over on the LSU side, they’re entering this weekend’s game with a 3-2 mark this season so far. In the Tigers’ last game, they destroyed Missouri 42-7. LSU RB Derrius Guice was the star of the show here, carrying 17 times for 163 yards and three touchdowns. Darrel Williams bagged a trio of ground scores as well for the Tigers, carrying 21 times for 130 yards in what was a stellar ground-and-pound outing for LSU. 

So far in the Tigers’ season, QB Danny Etling leads in passing with a 59-of-101 mark for 649 yards and three scores, while Guice is the rush leader on 46 carries for 402 yards and four TDs. Travin Dual is LSU’s top receiver with 18 receptions for 176 yards. 

The Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last five versus the SEC, and 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games. Southern Mississippi is also 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games, and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games on grass. 

As for LSU, they’re 4-0 ATS in their last four games in October, and 5-2 ATS in their last seven versus Conference USA. The Tigers are also 1-4 ATS in their last five overall, and 2-5 ATS in their last seven non-conference games. 

I see this as a lower-scoring game, as Louisiana State University will try to control the clock with a constant ground attack. When Southern Mississippi has the ball, look for them to take some chances down the field to try and jump out to an early lead. The Golden Eagles do put up a lot of points—they’ve scored at least 32 in every game this year—so I think they have a good shot at covering here. LSU will still win, though.

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Southern Miss Golden Eagles +21

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