UCF vs. Temple - 10/15/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Temple Owls (3-3) at UCF Knights (3-2)
College Football: Saturday, October 15, 2016 at 7:30 pm (Bright House Networks Stadium)
The Line: UCF Knights -3 -- Over/Under: 55 See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN U
The Temple Owls will travel to Bright House Networks Stadium to take on the UCF Knights this Saturday night in College Football action.
The Temple Owls dropped to 3-3 (1-1 AAC) on the season after being defeated by Memphis Tigers, 34-27, this past Thursday. Temple played the Tigers tough as they had a 13-0 lead late in the 2nd quarter, however, allowed Memphis to 27 unanswered points to get the come from behind victory. Temple outgained Memphis by a 531-323 margin however committed three costly turnovers in the loss. Leading the way for Temple was Phillip Walker who competed 36 of 59 passes for 445 yards, 2 TD, and 2 INT. On the season, Temple is averaging 33.0 ppg on 380.3 total yards per game (240.7 passing, 139.7 rushing). Offensively, the Owls have been led by QB Phillip Walker who has completed 57.0% of his passes for 8 TD and 9 INT while averaging 235.8 passing yds/game. Leading the Temple backfield has been Ryquell Armstead (9.5 att/g, 54.17 yds/g, 7 TD) and Jahad Thomas (14.5 att/g, 59.3 yds/g, 6 TD). WR Keith Kirkwood (3.5 rec/g, 52.5 yds/g, 2 TD), RB Jahad Thomas (3.8 rec/g, 54.5 yds/g, 2 TD), WR Brodrick Yancy (3.2 rec/g, 35.0 yds/g, 2 TD), and WR Ventell Bryant (3.3 rec/g, 45.7 yds/g, TD) have been the leading receivers for the Owls. Defensively, Temple is holding their opponents to an average of 22.7 ppg on 320.0 total yards per game (159.5 passing, 160.5 rushing). Temple has forced their opponents in to committing 13 turnovers on the season, however, has also struggled with turnovers and has a turnover margin of just +2.
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The UCF Knights has their game last weekend against the Tulane Green Wave postponed due to the weather caused by Hurricane Matthew. In the previous week, the UCF Knights won their 2nd straight road game and improved to 3-2 (1-0 AAC) on the season after defeating the East Carolina Pirates, 47-29. UCF scored the first 17 points of the 4th quarter to blow this one open and secure the victory. UCF was outgained by East Carolina by a 521-373 margin and won the turnover battle by a 5-2 margin. Leading the way for UCF was RB Dontravious Wilson who had 2 TD and 74 rushing yards on 11 carries. On the season, UCF is averaging 35.2 ppg on 425.2 total yards per game (192.4 passing, 232.8 rushing). UCF has adapted a fast-paced offense under 1st year head coach, Scott Frost, and is led by their rushing attack which ranks 25th in the country. Leading the Knights rushing attack has been RB Dontravious Wilson (12.2 att/g, 55.8 yds/g, 7 TD), RB Adrian Killins (4.4 att/g, 50.8 yds/g, 2 TD), and RB Jawon Hamilton (11.8 att/g, 45.4 yds/g, TD). UCF has used both QB McKenzie Milton (58.0 comp %, 3 TD, INT, 216.5 passing yds/g) and QB Justin Holman (41.2 comp %, 2 TD, 2 INT, 122.7 passing yds/g) and although McKenzie Milton has looked more impressive, UCF did go with Jawon Hamilton in their recent win. UCF’s biggest threats at the receiver positions have been WR Tre’Quan Smith (3.2 rec/g, 44.2 yds/g, 2 TD) and TE Jordan Akins (1.6 rec/g, 37.0 yds/g, TD). Defensively, UCF is holding their opponents to an average of 24.8 ppg on 350.6 total yards per game (238.0 passing, 112.6 rushing). UCF has had a bit of trouble protecting the football as they’ve committed 10 turnovers on the season and have an overall turnover margin of -1.
The Owls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall however, just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games.
Temple has to be disappointed that their defense allowed Memphis to score 27 straight points in their recent loss, however, the Owls still will enter this matchup against UCF with the 39th ranked scoring defense in the country. UCF and their strong rushing attack has already exceeded expectations for the Knights this season as UCF entered the season coming off a winless 2015 season. UCF has been a great story so far this season under first year head coach Scott Frost, however, as I think the Owls offense will be able to put up some points through the passing game, I think the defense will do enough to allow Temple to at worst cover with the points. Take Temple and the points.