Oregon at Cal - 10/21/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Oregon Ducks (2-4) at California Golden Bears (3-3)
College Football: Friday, October 21, 2016 at 10:30 pm (California Memorial Stadium)
The Line: California Golden Bears -3 -- Over/Under: 87.5 See the Latest Odds
The Oregon Ducks and Cal Golden Bears square off late Friday night in a Pac-12 college football game at Memorial Stadium on ESPN.
The Oregon Ducks are desperate for a victory in order to snap a brutal four-game losing streak. The Oregon Ducks haven’t lost five games since the 2006 college football season. Dakota Prukop is completing 66.2 percent of his passes for 1,173 yards, eight touchdowns and two interceptions. Prukop and Justin Herbert have combined for 10 touchdown passes this season. Darren Carrington II and Charles Nelson have combined for 636 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Dwayne Stanford has 13 receptions. The Oregon Ducks ground game is averaging 257.8 yards per contest, and Royce Freeman leads the way with 513 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Oregon is allowing 41.8 points and 522.3 yards per game. Tyree Robinson leads the Oregon Ducks with 32 tackles, Troy Dye has three sacks and Brenden Schooler has two interceptions.
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The Cal Golden Bears look for a strong home victory to get a game above a .500 record. The Cal Golden Bears have won four straight home games. Davis Webb is completing 60.8 percent of his passes for 2,256 yards, 22 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Webb has four or more touchdown passes in five of the six games this season. Chad Hansen and Demetris Robertson have combined for 1,108 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns while Melquise Stovall has 24 receptions. The Cal Golden Bears ground game is averaging 152.3 yards per contest, and Khalfani Muhammad leads the way with 377 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, California is allowing 40 points and 494.7 yards per game. Raymond Davison leads the Cal Golden Bears with 52 tackles, Cameron Saffle has 2.5 sacks and Evan Rambo has one interception.
The Ducks are 22-6-1 ATS in their last 29 road games and 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Golden Bears are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games. The Ducks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the home team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
These are two of the worst defensive teams in college football, so a battle between Oregon and Cal may come down to which team has the ball last. However, the Cal Golden Bears have been more consistent offensively than the Oregon Ducks. Oregon simply isn't a good football team right now and likely has little confidence after getting waxed by Washington. Even in its losses, Cal has competed.
Cal is better than Oregon, so give me the home team and the small line.