New Mexico vs. Louisiana-Monroe - 10/22/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (2-4) at New Mexico Lobos (3-3)
College Football: Saturday, October 22, 2016 at 9:00 pm (University Stadium)
The Line: New Mexico Lobos -12.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
TV: Root Sports; Campus Insiders
The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks will travel to University Stadium (NM) to take on the New Mexico Lobos this Saturday night in College Football action.
The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks snapped their 4-game losing streak and improved to 4-2 (1-2 Sun Belt) on the season after defeating the Texas State Bobcats, 40-34, this past Saturday. Louisiana Monroe used a big 2nd quarter in which they scored 23 unanswered points to take a 33-14 halftime lead and was able to hang on late for the victory. The Warhawks outgained the Bobcats by a 480-355 margin however, did lose the turnover battle by a 3-2 margin. Leading the way for Louisiana Monroe was RB Ben Luckett who had 2 TD and 103 rushing yards on 27 carries. On the season, Louisiana Monroe is averaging 25.7 ppg on 414.5 total yards per game (230.5 passing, 184.0 rushing). Offensively, the Warhawks suffered a big blow in their recent victory as they lost starting QB Garrett Smith for the season due to a lower body injury. QB Will Collins was impressive in replacing Smith in their recent win and on the season Collins has completed 10 of 18 passes for 146 yards, 2 TD, and an INT. The Warhawks backfield consists of Ben Luckett (14.7 att/g, 57.5 yds/g, 4 TD) and Duke Carter IV (9.2 att/g, 34.8 yds/g, TD). RJ Turner (3.0 rec/g, 55.3 yds/g, 2 TD), Xavier Brown (2.5 rec/g, 44.3 yds/g, 2 TD), Marcus Green (3.8 rec/g, 42.8 yds/g, 3 TD) and Ajalen Holley (3.0 rec/g, 25.5 yds/g, TD) have been the leading receivers for the Warhawks. Defensively, Louisiana Monroe is allowing their opponents to average 38.2 ppg on 481.5 total yards per game (207.0 passing, 274.5 rushing). The Warhawks have committed 13 turnovers on the season and have an overall turnover margin of -6.
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The New Mexico Lobos improved to 3-3 (2-1 MW) on the season after an impressive 45-40 victory over the Air Force Falcons this past Saturday. Air Force gained an incredible 373 rushing yards and was able to hang on to a 35-27 halftime lead to secure the victory. New Mexico was outgained by Air Force by a 531-443 margin however, did hold the Falcons into converting just 3 of 11 third-down opportunities. Leading the way for New Mexico was RB Teriyon Gipson who had a TD and 140 yards on 9 carries. On the season, New Mexico is averaging 36.8 ppg on 461.3 total yards per game (104.2 passing, 357.2 rushing). Offensively the Lobos are led by the 2nd ranked rushing offense in the country. The New Mexico rushing attack is led by Teriyon Gipson (10.0 att/g, 134.75 yds/g, 6 TD), Tyrone Owens (13.17 att/g, 86.0 yds/g, 3 TD), Lamar Jordon (11.2 att/g, 67.6 yds/g, TD), and Richard McQuarley (10.2 att/g, 45.5 yds/g, 9 TD). QB Lamar Jordon, who is filling in for the injured Austin Apodaca, has completed 19 of 39 passes for 238 yards, 3 TD, and 2 INT. Matt Quarells (1.3 rec/g, 22.3 yds/g, TD), Patrick Reed (1.2 rec/g, 19.8 yds/g, TD), and Q’ Drennan (1.2 rec/g, 19.7 yds/g, TD) are the leading receivers for the Lobos. Defensively, New Mexico is allowing their opponents to average 36.7 ppg on 401.7 total yards per game (250.5 passing, 151.2 rushing). New Mexico has only forced 5 turnovers on the season and has an overall turnover margin of -2.
The Warhawks are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games in October however, are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. The Lobos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Louisiana Monroe picked up a much needed win last week and will hope that Will Collins can continue to energize the Warhawks offense as currently, Louisiana Monroe is ranked just 89th in the country in scoring offense. New Mexico and their outstanding rushing attack was on full display against Air Force however, for the Lobos to continue to pick up wins they need to find answers on the defensive end as they rank 115th in the country in scoring defense and 66th in total defense. New Mexico shouldn’t have any problem rushing on the Warhawks rush defense that ranks 125th in the country and although Louisiana Monroe should be able to score some points against New Mexico, I think the Lobos will pull away in the 2nd half in this one and cover this large home spread. Take New Mexico to cover.