Ohio State Buckeyes at Penn State Nittany Lions - 10/22/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Ohio State Buckeyes (6-0) at Penn State Nittany Lions (4-2)
College Football: Saturday, October 22, 2016 at 8:00 pm (Beaver Stadium)
The Line: Penn State Nittany Lions +20 -- Over/Under: 59.5 See the Latest Odds
Coming our way on Saturday in Week 8 college football action from Beaver Stadium in University Park, the Ohio State Buckeyes will visit the Penn State Nittany Lions.
Ohio State enters this game with a nice 6-0 record so far, and they just finished up an OT 30-23 win over Wisconsin this past Saturday. During that game, Buckeyes QB JT Barrett was all over the place, going 17-of-29 for 226 yards, one touchdown and one interception in the air, and bagging 21 carries for 92 yards and two touchdowns on the ground. Ohio State was led in receiving by WR Curtis Samuel, who caught six balls for 58 yards.
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So far this season, Barrett has managed to go 96-for-152 with 1207 yards and 16 touchdowns to lead the Buckeyes in passing, while Mike Weber is the lead running back on 94 carries for 612 yards and four scores. Samuel is Ohio State’s leading receiver on 29 receptions for 403 yards and three TDs of his own.
Over on the Penn State side, they’re entering play this weekend with a respectable 4-2 record. The Nittany Lions have won their last two games, most recently a 38-14 victory over Maryland on October 8. In that one, Penn State QB Trace McSorley went 10-of-19 for 152 yards and two touchdowns, with most of the work going to DeAndre Thompkins who finished with four receptions for 91 yards and a TD. Saquon Barkley was the major contributor for Penn State here, however, with 31 carries for 202 yards and a TD.
On the year so far, McSorley has put up an efficient 103-of-177 line for 1436 yards and an 8:3 TD:INT ratio for Penn State, while Barkley leads the way in rushing with 117 carries for 582 yards and eight scores. Thompkins leads the receivers with 18 catches for 328 yards and one TD so far.
Ohio State is 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a bye week, and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall. The Buckeyes are also 37-14 ATS in their last 51 games on grass, and 41-17-1 ATS in their last 59 road games.
Meanwhile, Penn State is 2-5-1 ATS versus a team with a winning record, and 1-3-1 ATS in their last five home games. Penn State is also 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and 1-4-1 ATS in their last six conference games.
There’s a pretty sizable line here, but it seems to be about right. Penn State isn’t necessarily a high-scoring team, but they don’t make a whole lot of mistakes in the passing game and they’ve got a nice ground attack. The Nittany Lions have managed to score at least 29 in their past two games. As for Ohio State, they’ve calmed down a bit offensively, given that they’ve “only” scored 68 points in their last two outings combined. There’s no way the Buckeyes are losing this game, but if Penn State can grind some clock with the ground game and stay on the field, they’ve got a good shot at covering. I’ll take the Nittany Lions here.