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UCONN vs. UCF - 10/22/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

UCF Knights (3-3) at UCONN Huskies (3-4)

College Football: Saturday, October 22, 2016 at 12:00 pm (Rentschler Field)

The Line: UCONN Huskies +2.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN News

The UCF Knights will travel to Rentschler Field to take on the UConn Huskies this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.

The UCF Knights dropped to 3-3 (1-1 AAC) on the season after being defeated by the Temple Owls, 26-25, this past Saturday. UCF had a 25-14 leading at halftime but couldn’t find the scoreboard in the 2nd half and gave up the game-winning TD to the Owls with just one second left in the game. UCF was outgained by Temple by a 364-296 margin however, did win the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin. Leading the way for UCF was QB McKenzie Milton who completed 13 of 22 passes for 210 yards, 2 TD, and an INT while adding a rushing TD. On the season, UCF is averaging 33.5 ppg on 403.7 total yards per game (195.3 passing, 208.3 rushing). Offensively, the Knights have been led by the rushing duo of Dontravious Wilson (12.7 att/g, 52.3 yds/g, 7 TD) and Jawon Hamilton (11.2 att/g, 44.2 yds/g, 2 TD). QB McKenzie Milton has completed 58.3% of his passes for 5 TD and 2 INT while averaging 214.3 passing yds/game. WR Tre’Quan Smith (3.2 rec/g, 54.0 yds/g, 3 TD), TE Jordan Akins (1.7 rec/g, 37.3 yds/g, TD), and WR Taylor Oldham (2.5 rec/g, 26.8 yds/g) have been the leading receivers for the Knights. Defensively, UCF is holding their opponents to an average of 25.0 ppg on 325.8 total yards per game (226.2 passing, 126.7 rushing). UCF has forced their opponents into committing 11 turnovers this season however, the Knights have an overall turnover margin of 0.

UCONN  vs. UCF - 10/22/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The UConn Huskies dropped to 3-4 (1-3 AAC) on the season after being defeated by the South Florida Bulls, 42-27, this past Saturday. UConn took a 17-13 lead early in the 3rd quarter but had no answers for the Bulls offense late in the game allowing South Florida to score 21 4th quarter points. UConn was outgained by South Florida by a 529-378 margin however, did win the turnover battle by a 4-0 margin. Leading the way for the Huskies was QB Bryant Shirreffs who completed 22 of 39 passes for 309 yards and 2 TD. On the season, UConn has averaged 20.9 ppg on 369.3 total yards per game (237.7 passing, 125.6 rushing). Offensively, the Huskies have been led by WR Noel Thomas who is averaging 9.6 rec/game and 108.3 receiving yds/game while grabbing 3 TD’s on the season. QB Bryant Shirreffs has completed 60.3% of his passes for 7 TD and 4 INT while averaging 226.9 passing yds/game. Shirreffs also has the ability to do some damage with his legs as he has 2 rushing TD’s and is the Huskies 2nd leading rusher at 33.0 yds/game. Also in the backfield for UConn has been Arkeel Newsome (12.4 att/g, 58.9 yds/g, 3 TD) and Ron Johnson (8.0 att/g, 26.9 yds/g, 4 TD). Along with Neal Thomas, Hergy Mayala (2.7 rec/g, 41.8 yds/g), Arkeel Newsome (1.6 rec/g, 21.3 yds/g, TD), and Tyler Davis (1.6 rec/g, 15.3 yds/g, TD) have been the leading receivers for the Huskies. Defensively, UConn is holding their opponents to an average of 20.9 ppg on 415.7 total yards per game (285.9 passing, 129.9 rushing). UConn has forced only 7 turnovers on the season and have an overall turnover of -1.

The Knights are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record however, are 3-1-0 ATS in their last 4 games. The Huskies are 2-4-1 ATS in their last 7 games however, 2-1-1 ATS vs. AAC opponents this season.  

UCF Knights really let one slip through their fingers against Temple, however, their solid effort really showed the UCF is once again a competitive football team after going winless in the 2015 season. UConn played South Florida tough but their defensive, which ranks 76th in total defense and 26th in rushing defense, ran out of steam and couldn’t find a way to stop the explosive Bulls offense late in the game. UCF has the 43rd ranked scoring offense however, as their rushing offense might have some trouble on the road against a solid Huskies rushing defense, I think UConn will be able to do enough at home to get the win. I’m taking UConn and the points in this one. 

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UConn Huskies +2.5

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