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UNLV vs. Colorado State - 10/22/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Colorado State Rams (3-4) at UNLV Rebels (3-4)

College Football: Saturday, October 22, 2016 at 5:30 pm (Sam Boyd Stadium)

The Line: UNLV Rebels -1.5 -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: Root Sports; Campus Insiders

The Colorado State Rams will travel to Sam Boyd Stadium to take on the UNLV Rebels this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.

The Colorado State Rams dropped to 3-4 (1-2 MW) on the season after being defeated by the 14th ranked Boise State Broncos, 28-23, this past Saturday. Colorado State scored 21 unanswered points in a in a 1:25 span in the 4th quarter after recovering two onside kicks, however, couldn’t complete the comeback after the Broncos recovered their 3rd onside kick attempt and ran out the clock. Colorado State was outgained by Boise State by a 444-373 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Rams was QB Nick Stevens who completed 17 of 31 passes for 189 yards and 2 TD’s. On the season, Colorado State is averaging 24.6 ppg on 401.3 total yards per game (215.0 passing, 186.3 rushing). Offensively, Colorado State is led by their rushing attack which consists of Dalyn Dawkins (13.5 att/g, 65.7 yds/g, TD), Izzy Matthews (11.0 att/g, 48.1 yds/g, 4 TD), and Marvin Kinsey Jr. (6.43 att/g, 28.1 yds/g, 2 TD). Colorado State lost their freshman QB Collin Hill due to injury and will once again go with QB Nick Stevens who has completed 27 of 59 passes on the season for 266 yards, 2 TD, and 2 INT. Michael Gallup (4.3 rec/g, 69.3 yds/g, 4 TD), Olabisi Johnson (1.9 rec/g, 28.4 yds/g, 2 TD) and Robert Ruiz (1.4 rec/g, 22.1 yds/g, TD) are the leading receivers for the Rams. Defensively, Colorado State is allowing their opponents to average 28.6 ppg on 425.7 total yards per game (234.1 passing, 191.6 rushing). Colorado State has forced just 7 turnovers on the season and has an overall turnover margin of -2.

UNLV vs. Colorado State - 10/22/16 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The UNLV Rebels improved to 3-4 (2-1 MW) on the season after defeating the Hawaii Rainbows, 41-38, this past Saturday. In a back and forth game, UNLV scored the last 10 points of the game which included a 28-yard FG by Evan Pantels to secure the victory. UNLV outgained Hawaii by a 535-446 margin and won the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin. Leading the way for the Rebels was Dalton Sneed who completed 19 of 27 passes for 279 yards and 2 TD. On the season, UNLV is averaging 32.6 ppg on 404.7 total yards per game (157.0 passing, 247.7 rushing). Offensively, UNLV has the 17th ranked rushing offense led by Lexington Thomas (15.9 att/g, 85.9 yds/g, 8 TD), Charles Williams (10.3 att/g, 59.7 yds/g, 2 TD), Dalton Sneed (7.6 att/g, 52.8 yds/g, TD) and David Greene (3.29 att/g, 14.6 yds/g, 5 TD). QB Dalton Sneed who is filling in for injured QB Johnny Stanton has completed 53.6% of his passes for 3 TD and an INT while averaging 84.6 passing yds/game. Devonte Boyd (3.7 rec/g, 60.1 yds/g, 4 TD), Darren Woods Jr. (2.2 rec/g, 31.5 yds/g, TD), Andrew Price (1.3 rec/g, 17.3 yds/g), and Mekhi Stevenson (1.6 rec/g, 14.9 yds/g, TD) are the leading receivers for the Rebels. Defensively, UNLV is allowing their opponents to average 30.9 ppg on 413.4 total yards per game (250.4 passing, 163.0 rushing). UNLV has forced 9 opponent turnovers on the season and has an overall turnover margin of +1.

The Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on field turf. The Rebels are 4-3 ATS overall on the season and 2-1 ATS at home this season.

Colorado State did an impressive job making their recent game against Boise State competitive however, the Rams still need to find a way to put together a complete game as both the offense and defense has struggled this season. UNLV is an up and coming program although their defense still can give up points as the Rebels currently rank 89th in the country in scoring defense. The Rams suffered a big blow when they lost QB Colin Hill for the season and although they still should have some success against the Rebels defense, I really liked how freshman QB Dalton Sneed looked throwing the ball last weekend and think UNLV will be able to do enough on the offensive end to cover this small spread at home. Take UNLV to cover. 

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UNLV Rebels -1.5

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